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  #61  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:49 PM
Howard Treesong Howard Treesong is offline
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Posts: 997
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
Worst play ever. I'd likely either fold to the 3k, or call (getting 3:1) and hope for a Q or a K, either of which I'd push allin for and expect him to fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

A player under the gun raises to $150. Jarret McMillan re-raises to $400. Michael Hasday, in the big blind, makes it $3,900 to go. The under the gun player goes all-in while McMillan folds. Hasday makes the call and shows AA. The under the gun player shows QQ and McMillan mucks K-K. The board comes KJ3210, and Michael Hasday eliminates an opponent and boosts his stack to $22,400. McMillan folded the winning hand.

Are you staying with your "worst play ever" contention in light of this? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #62  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:50 PM
Quicksilvre Quicksilvre is offline
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Location: Clinging to the binomial theorem like a drunk to a lamppost
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Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know what time the first break is? TIA

[/ QUOTE ]

Probably around 2:00PM Vegas time for half the field and 2:20 for the other half.
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  #63  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:52 PM
i am run i am run is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

having kk with 2 other players raising and re-rasing.. one of the has to have aces. meaning the kk has a less likely chance of winning against a person with aa and another with xx...
good fold. under the circumstances.
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  #64  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:57 PM
Dynasty Dynasty is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 16,088
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
having kk with 2 other players raising and re-rasing.. one of the has to have aces. meaning the kk has a less likely chance of winning against a person with aa and another with xx...
good fold. under the circumstances.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's obviously a good fold if you're up against AA. But, KK vs. AA vs. QQ is better than KK vs. AA.

You'd much rather have 17.4% equity in a $30,000 pot than 18.1% equity in a $20,000 pot.


Holdem Hi: 1370754 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Ah 914818 66.74 450487 32.86 5449 0.40 0.669
Qc Qd 213273 15.56 1152032 84.04 5449 0.40 0.157
Ks Kc 237214 17.31 1128091 82.30 5449 0.40 0.174


Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Ah 1399204 81.71 305177 17.82 7923 0.46 0.819
Ks Kc 305177 17.82 1399204 81.71 7923 0.46 0.181
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  #65  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:57 PM
jiggaman0204 jiggaman0204 is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

Can we avoid the Day 1A trend of posting everything 3-5 times per page as soon as it's on the wire? (Like on THIS PAGE)

There's no prize for posting this stuff first guys, check before hand to see if you've been beaten to it.
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  #66  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:57 PM
Howard Treesong Howard Treesong is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Posts: 997
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
having kk with 2 other players raising and re-rasing.. one of the has to have aces. meaning the kk has a less likely chance of winning against a person with aa and another with xx...
good fold. under the circumstances.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. The $3900 raise is a massive overbet, and then there's an all-in behind it. It's half an hour in, so unless both are proven maniacs, I'm mucking the KK here. You're winning about a fifth of the time and getting 2:1 on your money.

Of course, I borrow a revolver and put a bullet in my head when a K flops.
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  #67  
Old 07-29-2006, 03:58 PM
Kevmath Kevmath is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Syracuse
Posts: 8,656
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
Can we avoid the Day 1A trend of posting everything 3-5 times per page as soon as it's on the wire? (Like on THIS PAGE)

There's no prize for posting this stuff first guys, check before hand to see if you've been beaten to it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed. Flat mode and the Edit/Delete buttons are your friend.
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  #68  
Old 07-29-2006, 04:00 PM
Howard Treesong Howard Treesong is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

Yes, absolutely. I think it's an easier fold here, though, because I have a much easier time putting one of these guys on AA.
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  #69  
Old 07-29-2006, 04:01 PM
i am run i am run is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bay Area California
Posts: 230
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
having kk with 2 other players raising and re-rasing.. one of the has to have aces. meaning the kk has a less likely chance of winning against a person with aa and another with xx...
good fold. under the circumstances.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's obviously a good fold if you're up against AA. But, KK vs. AA vs. QQ is better than KK vs. AA.

You'd much rather have 17.4% equity in a $30,000 pot than 18.1% equity in a $20,000 pot.


[/ QUOTE ]

well. sure its better than heads up... but its still more wise to fold.
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  #70  
Old 07-29-2006, 04:01 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Posts: 29,344
Default Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1B Sweat

I think there are enough maniacs out there who would be betting like crazy with pocket T's or 7's or AK or something silly that it is +EV to call with KK.

but on the very first hand with zero reads I wouldn't blame someone for folding.


Somebody mentioned 'thinking about it' the rest of the time you're out there.
I still think about my KK vs. AA hand from last freaking year.


Early in 2nd level I had just doubled-up to about 18.5 or 19k or so (hit a set of Q's on the flop and AA calls my all-in).

10 minutes later I get KK.

Pretty tight UTG opens for 3x to $300.
I raise to $1k.
He re-raises to $5k.
I've got him covered and he has seen me be pretty aggressive (splashing around in quite a few pots already) so I push and just have fingers-crossed for an AK or QQ.

He calls with AA of course and my $18.5k immediately becomes $6.5k.

I still think I could have gotten away from it if I hadn't thought so much about my own image at the table to that point.


The first WSOP hand I ever played:
$3k NLHE event last year.
Only 4 players (everyone else running a bit late).

CO opens (I fold on button), BB calls.
Flop comes 976.
Both players bet like crazy and eventually get all-in.
CO has T8, BB has 99.
CO's straight holds-up.
All heads turn as dealer calls-out "Seat Open."


Crazy stuff happens.
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