Daliman's Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2

[ImBen]

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sportbet.com ( I think thats the site I'm at work now and if thats not it PM and I will get back to you with it when I get home) has +100 teasers (for my small bets at least) and a 50% bonus up to 250.

So if your just betting at Mansion now you might was well move your money over and get some bonus out of it.
Ken

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All ties lose at sportbet. All ties push at Mansion, including a tie and a loss.

[B-Man]

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All ties push at Mansion, including a tie and a loss.

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This sounds too good to be true.

[ImBen]

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All ties push at Mansion, including a tie and a loss.

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This sounds too good to be true.

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Call them and find out for yourself then, chief.

[Bishop22]

Not to steal your results thunder, Dali, but.......SCOOOP!

[Daliman]

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Not to steal your results thunder, Dali, but.......SCOOOP!

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TY, TY sir. It seems most everything wongable won this week, so hopefully this forum took down a bunch. Those following me exactly did VERY well this week, ( remember that when we get killed, though [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img])

Anyways, here's the updates:
Week 2
Teased games:5-0
2-team teases:10-0 +970
4-Team teases:5-0 +585
+1555

YTD:
Teased Games: 9-1 (90%)
2 team Teases: 13-4 (76.47%)
4 team teases: 5-1 (83.33%)
+$1408

Current BR:$4008, (Includes $500 straight bet win on Minn.) I am using it in my overall bankroll for bet size calcuations, etc, but it is not going to affect my W/L percentages, and is not being counted towards winnings for this pick series. It will, however, affect my bet sizes in the future.

GL in Week 3, everyone. Looks like it will be a pretty sparse teaser week. And remember: I have been very lucky the first two weeks. Wong Teased teams will end up winning about 75% of the time, 2-team teasers about 56% of the time, and 4 team teasers about 32% of the time. Even though all those numbers are considerably lower that what I have right now, if I end the season with them, I'll be plenty happy.

[ImBen]

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Wong Teased teams will end up winning about 75% of the time

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Grouped together, 1.5-2.5 point underdogs have lost by <=8 72.56% of the time and <=7 70.69% since 1993.

7.5-8.5 favorites have won by >=2 76.26% & >=3 74.46% since 1993.

A weighted average produces a Wongable team win% of 73.23% since 1993.

[CTKid]

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Wong Teased teams will end up winning about 75% of the time

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Grouped together, 1.5-2.5 point underdogs have lost by <=8 72.56% of the time and <=7 70.69% since 1993.

7.5-8.5 favorites have won by >=2 76.26% & >=3 74.46% since 1993.

A weighted average produces a Wongable team win% of 73.23% since 1993.

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Wow. Where do you get information like that?

[sfwusc]

What is the odds if you include -7 favorites to winning 1.5+ and +3 dogs losing by less than 9.5?

If we are going to take games this week then it is going to include games like this.

That said I am looking and +3 dogs are getting +110 and such...which mean they could be good sharp bets. Then again we might be better off just taking those games.

Any info is welcome and thanks in advance!

-SFWUSC

[Daliman]

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What is the odds if you include -7 favorites to winning 1.5+ and +3 dogs losing by less than 9.5?

If we are going to take games this week then it is going to include games like this.

That said I am looking and +3 dogs are getting +110 and such...which mean they could be good sharp bets. Then again we might be better off just taking those games.

Any info is welcome and thanks in advance!

-SFWUSC

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I am actually of the opinion that +3 and -7 high NEGATIVE bets( -120 or more) are better bets, because those bets are very close to going to 2.5 or 7.5, plus, with the teaser, it totally takes the negative # out of the equation, which can be a HUGE edge.

[B-Man]

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All ties push at Mansion, including a tie and a loss.

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This sounds too good to be true.

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Call them and find out for yourself then, chief.

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I did. As suspected, this is too good to be true. A tie and a loss is <u>not</u> a push, it is a loss (just like everywhere else, and as common sense would dictate (otherwise a tie and a loss would be better than a win and a loss)).