Sygamel's 2005 NFL Regular Season Picks Log

[sygamel]

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Oakland Raiders +9.5 -110
$110.00 to win $100.00
12/30/05

Note: -106 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at +9.5. -121 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. -143 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet.


New wager:

Oakland +9.5 -110
$165.00 to win $150.00

Note: -111 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at +9.5. -126 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. -150 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet.

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Why did your 'note' numbers change for this bet? Statistical anomaly? Calculator malfunction?

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there was a trend for the Raiders I didn't include, caught it within a couple hours.

[sygamel]

Denver 23-7 Denver +11 +$50.00; over 43.5 -$50.50

NY Giants 30-21 Oakland +9.5 +$150.00; Oakland to win -$32.79; over 40 +$50.00

This win was testament to a favorable line at SportsInteraction.

Indianapolis 17-13 Arizona +7.5 +$150.00; Arizona to win -$17.42; over 44.5 -$52.50

Cleveland 20-16 Cleveland +3.5 +$150.00; under 36.5 +$50.00

NY Jets 30-26 Under 37.5 -$156.00

Pittsburgh 35-21 Detroit +14 $0.00; Detroit to win -$12.50

Miami 28-26 Miami +7 +$50.00

Tampa Bay 27-13 New Orleans to win -$7.14; over 37 +$50.00

Green Bay 23-17 Green Bay -3 +$200.00

San Francisco 20-17 Houston +1 -$48.54; under 36 -$110.00

Minnesota 34-10 Chicago +5.5 -$48.54

Washington 31-20 Philadelphia +7.5 -$262.50; Philadelphia to win -$34.01

Philly's 6 TOs were devastating.

Saint Louis 20-10 Saint Louis +7.5 +$50.00

Teasers

Wk 16 NY Jets +15/Wk 17 Cleveland +9 +$50.00

Kansas City -1/Oakland +15 +$37.50

Cleveland +9/Philadelphia +14 +$50.00

Philadelphia +14/Green Bay +1 +$62.50

Weekly Total: +6.35 units among 39.65 units transacted.

Season Total: -16.23 units among 452.73 units transacted.

I will do a season wrapup and breakdown within a few days. On initial diagnosis, my money line plays this season were a total disaster and probably account for 10 or more negative units. Those dogs that did cover almost always needed the points.

[sygamel]

Final total: -16.24 units among 452.74 units transacted.

Breakdown

Pointspreads: -15.91 units among 259.91 units transacted.
Totals: +16.77 units among 89.24 units transacted.
Money lines: -16.34 units among 68.34 units transacted.
Teasers: -0.75 units among 35.25 units transacted

Favorites: +7.43 units among 44.57 units transacted
Underdogs: -23.34 units among 215.34 units transacted

Overs: +14.24 units among 69.77 units transacted
Unders: +2.53 units among 19.47 units transacted

*1 unit plays: -3.26 units among 141.26 units transacted
*2 unit plays: -17.29 units among 101.29 units transacted
*3 unit plays: -1.89 units among 91.89 units transacted
*4 unit plays: +11.90 units among 28.10 units transacted
*5 unit plays: -4.95 units among 54.95 units transacted

*excluding teasers

Season wrapup to follow later this week.

[kdog]

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*5 unit plays: -4.95 units among 54.95 units transacted



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This number actually surprises me. Over the last few weeks I've been thinking "Jeez if this guy just never bet his best bets he'd be ahead for the year." Seemed like every time you stepped out you got slapped backwards.

[sygamel]

thought the same thing actually, kdog.

Wk 17 Philly +7.5 L
Wk 16 GB +7.5 W
Wk 16 Cle +8 L
Wk 14 Philly +10 W
Wk 14 Jack +8.5 W
Wk 11 Hou +7 L
Wk 10 Hou +18 W
Wk 9 Mia +3 L
Wk 7 Hou +15 L

On the 5 unit ML plays, I won SF at home vs TB but lost all others. The net of the ML plays was probably about even though.

[sygamel]

Final total: +34.84 units among 580.17 units transacted.

Breakdown

Pointspreads: +17.96 units among 275.74 units transacted.
Totals: +18.55 units among 178.76 units transacted.
Money lines: +11.51 units among 108.49 units transacted.
Teasers: -13.18 units among 17.18 units transacted

Favorites: -0.53 units among 52.53 units transacted
Underdogs: +18.49 units among 223.21 units transacted

Overs: +17.96 units among 97.91 units transacted
Unders: +0.59 units among 80.85 units transacted

*1 unit plays: -2.74 units among 191.01 units transacted
*2 unit plays: +36.56 units among 154.28 units transacted
*3 unit plays: -0.72 units among 114.60 units transacted
*4 unit plays: +18.08 units among 69.97 units transacted
*5 unit plays: -3.17 units among 33.14 units transacted

*excluding teasers

2 Year Composite

Final total: +18.60 units among 1032.91 units transacted.

Breakdown

Pointspreads: +2.05 units among 535.65 units transacted.
Totals: +35.32 units among 268.00 units transacted.
Money lines: -4.83 units among 176.83 units transacted.
Teasers: -13.93 units among 52.43 units transacted

Favorites: +6.90 units among 97.10 units transacted
Underdogs: -4.85 units among 438.55 units transacted

Overs: +32.20 units among 167.68 units transacted
Unders: +3.12 units among 100.32 units transacted

*1 unit plays: -6.00 units among 332.27 units transacted
*2 unit plays: +19.27 units among 255.57 units transacted
*3 unit plays: -2.61 units among 206.49 units transacted
*4 unit plays: +29.98 units among 98.07 units transacted
*5 unit plays: -8.12 units among 88.09 units transacted