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#41
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What about if I were to tweak this method to have it based off a consensus of sports writers?
Each Thursday and Friday the Daily News collects 8 experts together to pick like 15 college games and all the NFL games a week. If I pick against the games where they agree vs the spread (6 out of 8 minimum or 7,8 out of 8) do you think this would be any better? I'm gonna pick up a paper here and write down the picks in which six of the columnists agree on a college football game and then do the same for the NFL picks they release tomorrow. |
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#42
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[ QUOTE ]
What about if I were to tweak this method to have it based off a consensus of sports writers? [/ QUOTE ] What would possibly make you think that a consensus of sports writers will be big enough losers to fade and beat the juice? Honestly, where is your thinking coming from? |
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#43
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Coin Flips = 50/50% shot. Your vig: likely -110. 50% <<< 52.4%. DUCY? [/ QUOTE ] FLAWLESS VICTORY. [/ QUOTE ] |
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#44
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[ QUOTE ]
If I pick against the games where they agree vs the spread (6 out of 8 minimum or 7,8 out of 8) do you think this would be any better? [/ QUOTE ] No. |
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#45
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Alright I'm not placing these wagers but these are the picks for this weekend's college experiement (note the collection of seven sports writers were polled, at least 5 of them took the opposing team so I would wager on these teams)
Tonight- South Carolina (-3 1/2) vs Kentucky Northern Illinois (-4) vs Temple Kansas (+3) vs Kansas State Clemson (-5) vs Va. Tech Iowa (+9 1/2) vs Penn State Florida (+9) vs LSU The collective records of the panel are 257-261 so after typing all that and realizing this I'm not so sure. The consensus is 38-36 (need 4 out of 7). So basically I don't have anything here probably. I just figured that the consensus in the end would fail... |
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#46
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your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail.
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#47
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[ QUOTE ]
your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say. |
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#48
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say. [/ QUOTE ] If you're looking for an edge, just bet the dog in every sport on the planet that you can bet on. |
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#49
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say. [/ QUOTE ] Fading some random dude who probably has no idea what he's doing is your edge? WTF man? How can you not see where this reasoning is flawed? I don't know how much more clear this could be. |
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#50
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This thread has gotten way too many responses.
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