MNF Cincinnati @ Indianapolis - Page 5

paperchamp · #41 12-18-2006, 11:02 PM

It's just halftime, calm down. The Bengals need to run the ball more.

paperchamp · #42 12-18-2006, 11:06 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Late game sharps on Indy.

[/ QUOTE ]

If a sharp wanted to bet Indy, why wouldn't they have grabbed it when they were -2.5? It was obvious which way the line was moving.

PITTM · #43 12-18-2006, 11:50 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Not only have the Colts clenched a playoff spot, but they've clenched the first game at home.
They're only playing for home field in the second game at this point.

I think the +3.5 is huge here. I have the true line at Cincy -1.

This is my largest NFL bet of the year so far.

[/ QUOTE ]

ouch. under plz, under!

rj

noddyholder · #44 12-18-2006, 11:59 PM

I have over 55. Not sure what to think here.

PITTM · #45 12-19-2006, 12:42 AM

HOLLA

rj

Performify · #46 12-19-2006, 12:49 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think the +3.5 is huge here. I have the true line at Cincy -1.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF?

C'mon. You either have the worst unit system ever created for are kidding yourself.

Kelly says this is a >20% of bankroll play if you capping is correct. From this we can draw one of two conclusions: 1) You have a greater than 30% ROI and are choosing to pass this up for who knows why. 2) Your line is wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

you should have continued reading the very next sentence

[ QUOTE ]

I think the +3.5 is huge here. I have the true line at Cincy -1.

This is my largest NFL bet of the year so far.

[/ QUOTE ]

ojsdaman · #47 12-19-2006, 12:50 AM

THE ONLY TREND I FOLLOW=WHEN 2 OFFENSIVE TEAMS MEET, BET THE UNDER

wow... i have never sweat one out like that..i thought there was almost no chance the under would hit when the 4th started..

Thremp · #48 12-19-2006, 12:55 AM

Performify,

Its the same as many others and still very undersized given your edge.

Performify · #49 12-19-2006, 12:58 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Performify,

Its the same as many others and still very undersized given your edge.

[/ QUOTE ]

in what regard?

My public picks are vastly different from my own plays. You of all people know this.

I had a very significant percentage of my sports betting bankroll on Cincy +3.5 tonight.

Oops.

So i really don't need you giving me [censored] about anything right now. No offense.

Although, in my defense, Cincy did suffer an early turnover, a couple big dropped passes, a critical defensive holding call, and most importantly lost their right offensive tackle in the opening series who did not return to the game. But Peyton played lights out, and i definitely miscalculated the motiviation of the Colts here. Once again I wish I had the information that was released when the game started by the announcers that "Dungy was saying this was the Colt's most important game of the season" about 5 minutes before kickoff.....

Thremp · #50 12-19-2006, 01:32 AM

I know you bet different lines also than what you recommend. Many of the lines I'm sure that you grab aren't available for very long or for very much. I do similar things. But for a public handicapped game that you put the edge that high... C'mon. One of the two has got to give.

Though I do agree Cincy played poorly. Though the early turnover was created by the Colts defense and not as terribly awful as that botched punt. Game probably comes much closer to actual spread instead of being a blowout if Cincy plays to their potential.

I just think its irresponsible to say MNF games have 30+% edges on them over closing lines. The most widely traded game of the week is hanging with a vast edge on it? I have trouble finding prop bets with that edge, let alone one of the five biggest games of the regular season.