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#1
08-31-2006, 02:52 PM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
EV.... none to very little
Variance goes way higher. If you bet on one game and took the winnings, then bet all on game two. Basicly repeating this for 5 total games...it would pay the same. The variance is going to be a lot higher than betting one unit on each of the 5 games, but EV wise no difference. -SFWUSC 
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#2
09-01-2006, 06:47 PM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
YTD 0-0-0
Texas Tech -26.5(-103) vs. SMU Notre Dame -6.5 @ Georgia Tech Texas -41(-103) vs. North Texas Syracuse +14.5(-107) @ Wake Forest
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#3
09-01-2006, 07:47 PM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
I couldn't help myself, and I ended up adding a parlay and teaser at the last second, along with a couple more bets. I put one unit on Akron +17.5, another half unit on USC at -8.5, and then I made these as well:
Parlay: Utah +120, USC -8.5, Army -5, Texas -22.5 (1st), LSU -24.5 Teaser: Akron +23.5, Auburn -8, USC -2.5, Clemson -25.5, Texas -35, LSU -24.5
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#5
09-02-2006, 12:20 AM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
One last correction to my bets, as I accidentally put two units on Akron instead of one as I bet it before I made my parlay and then forgot I'd bet it already and did it again after. I know no one really cares, but I want a record of my picks.
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#6
09-02-2006, 05:21 PM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
[ QUOTE ]
YTD 0-0-0 Texas Tech -26.5(-103) vs. SMU Notre Dame -6.5 @ Georgia Tech Texas -41(-103) vs. North Texas Syracuse +14.5(-107) @ Wake Forest [/ QUOTE ] 1 more Tennessee +3(-105) vs. California
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#7
09-02-2006, 05:31 AM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
i don't like the pitt game or the nebraska pick but the lines have moved since you made them...i have neb-24 now and pitt-4......my first weekend picks are tenn+2.5
va +4 alabama-15.5 florida st. +3.5 good luck on your picks except for the pitt game which i'm going the other way on
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#8
09-02-2006, 11:19 AM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
Ok, I don't have time for write-ups this week, but I'll probably do it in the future, so I wanted to at least add my picks for now..
ND at GT (+7.5) USC (-8) at Ark Stan at UO (-11) Cal at Tn (+2.5) TCU at Bay (+7) Akr/PSU U40 Syr/WF U44 ND/GT U51 BYU/Ariz U52 Good luck to me!
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#10
09-02-2006, 03:21 PM
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Re: Week 1 CFB Notions
nice...Texas just didn't stop in the 2nd half either
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