|
|
#481
12-16-2005, 03:09 PM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument. [/ QUOTE ] To me its illogical solely to use NFL statistics to handicap a specific game. [/ QUOTE ] Well....I don't. You made the points that Atlanta has a resurgent run D and Bears have no run offense, that Vick's health doesn't matter but then that it does matter, all of which basically eroded your argument for an Atlanta cover. What more else can I say? Btw it's the stat people who've been saying all year that teams like Cleveland will cover, you won't hear that from me. [/ QUOTE ] My point was that in making your point that Atlanta's run defense was not improving, you pointed to their yds given up in the last 4 games. My point is that those stats are, by themselves, meaningless without understanding how the games flowed, etc. 
|
|
#482
12-16-2005, 03:21 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument. [/ QUOTE ] To me its illogical solely to use NFL statistics to handicap a specific game. [/ QUOTE ] Well....I don't. You made the points that Atlanta has a resurgent run D and Bears have no run offense, that Vick's health doesn't matter but then that it does matter, all of which basically eroded your argument for an Atlanta cover. What more else can I say? Btw it's the stat people who've been saying all year that teams like Cleveland will cover, you won't hear that from me. [/ QUOTE ] My point was that in making your point that Atlanta's run defense was not improving, you pointed to their yds given up in the last 4 games. My point is that those stats are, by themselves, meaningless without understanding how the games flowed, etc. [/ QUOTE ] lol I'm not disagreeing with that, I'm disagreeing with your assertion that their run D is "resurgent" which you've now taken back (thankfully).
|
|
#483
12-16-2005, 03:23 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument. [/ QUOTE ] To me its illogical solely to use NFL statistics to handicap a specific game. [/ QUOTE ] Well....I don't. You made the points that Atlanta has a resurgent run D and Bears have no run offense, that Vick's health doesn't matter but then that it does matter, all of which basically eroded your argument for an Atlanta cover. What more else can I say? Btw it's the stat people who've been saying all year that teams like Cleveland will cover, you won't hear that from me. [/ QUOTE ] My point was that in making your point that Atlanta's run defense was not improving, you pointed to their yds given up in the last 4 games. My point is that those stats are, by themselves, meaningless without understanding how the games flowed, etc. [/ QUOTE ] lol I'm not disagreeing with that, I'm disagreeing with your assertion that their run D is "resurgent" which you've now taken back (thankfully). [/ QUOTE ] I took that back along time ago -- saying the word I should have used is "improving". Resurgent implies 2 things: 1. that they once were very good and 2. that they are close to being as good now. Neither is true.
|
|
#484
12-16-2005, 05:51 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Week 15, post 5
Buffalo Bills +10 -115
$115.00 to win $100.00 12/16/05 Note: -112 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at +10. -128 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. -152 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet. Minnesota Vikings +4 +105 $142.86 to win $150.00 12/16/05 Note: +109 is the lowest number to play for a 4 unit bet at +4. -103 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet. -119 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. Tennessee Titans +8 +105 $190.48 to win $200.00 12/16/05 Note: +107 is the lowest number to play for a 5 unit bet at +8. -103 is the highest number to play for a 4 unit bet. -116 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet. Houston Texans +2 -102 $102.00 to win $100.00 12/16/05 Note: -105 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet at +2. -123 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet. NY Jets +9 -105 $52.50 to win $50.00 12/16/05 Note: -110 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet at +9. Washington Redskins -2.5 +100 $50.00 to win $50.00 12/16/05 Note: +105 is the lowest number to play for a 2 unit bet at -2.5. -112 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet. Detroit Lions +8.5 +108 $185.19 to win $200.00 12/16/05 Note: +103 is the lowest number to play for a 4 unit bet at +8.5. -109 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet. All wagers made at Bowmans during half-juice NFL Fridays.
|
|
#486
12-16-2005, 06:30 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Week 15, post 6
Detroit Lions to win +320
$31.25 to win $100.00 12/16/05 Note: +350 is the lowest number to play for a 3 unit bet on this game. +290 is the lowest number to play for a 2 unit bet. +240 is the lowest number to play for a 1 unit bet. Tennessee Titans to win +270 $18.52 to win $50.00 12/16/05 Note: +305 is the lowest number to play for a 2 unit bet on this game. +245 is the lowest number to play for a 1 unit bet. Minnesota Vikins to win +166 $60.24 to win $100.00 12/16/05 Note: +166 is the lowest number to play for a 2 unit bet on this game. +140 is the lowest number to play for a 1 unit bet.
|
|
#487
12-18-2005, 09:13 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Week 15, post 7
San Francisco 49ers to win +1100
$9.09 to win $100.00 12/18/05 Note: +1060 is the lowest number to play for a 2 unit bet on this game. +690 is the lowest number to play for a 1 unit bet.
|
|
#488
12-18-2005, 11:30 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Week 15, post 8
Carolina/New Orleans over 39.5 -105
$52.50 to win $50.00 12/18/05 Note: -109 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet on over 39.5 Pittsburgh/Minnesota over 40.5 -101 $50.50 to win $50.00 12/18/05 Note: -104 is the highest number to play for a 1 unit bet on over 40.5.
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
