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#472
12-16-2005, 10:39 AM
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Re: Week 15, post 4
Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick.
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#474
12-16-2005, 11:31 AM
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Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet.
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#475
12-16-2005, 11:34 AM
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Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument.
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#476
12-16-2005, 12:08 PM
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Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument. [/ QUOTE ] To me its illogical solely to use NFL statistics to handicap a specific game.
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#477
12-16-2005, 12:13 PM
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Re: Week 15, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
New England Patriots -4.5 -102 $153.00 to win $150.00 12/16/05 Note: -108 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at -4.5. -124 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. [/ QUOTE ] What is it about this game that makes your system like the favorite here? Does it especially like the Patriots, dislike the Bucs, or both? If you don't mind answering, what does it like or dislike in particular about these teams? Thanks. I only ask because this seems like a strange game to pick the favorite if you're nomrally on the underdog. Tampa seems to be playing about as well as New England, having faced a similar caliber of competition.
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#478
12-16-2005, 12:35 PM
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Re: Week 15, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] New England Patriots -4.5 -102 $153.00 to win $150.00 12/16/05 Note: -108 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at -4.5. -124 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. [/ QUOTE ] What is it about this game that makes your system like the favorite here? Does it especially like the Patriots, dislike the Bucs, or both? If you don't mind answering, what does it like or dislike in particular about these teams? Thanks. I only ask because this seems like a strange game to pick the favorite if you're nomrally on the underdog. Tampa seems to be playing about as well as New England, having faced a similar caliber of competition. [/ QUOTE ] I love this pick, but only if Brady plays. FWIW.
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#479
12-16-2005, 12:51 PM
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Re: Week 15, post 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Still waiting for the 5 star Bears pick. [/ QUOTE ] It's only 1 unit. [/ QUOTE ] Aha...reduced due to the "Toast" factor. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Its about time you included that element in your spreadsheet. [/ QUOTE ] it's been around 56% all week, I was just trying to point out the illogic in your argument. [/ QUOTE ] To me its illogical solely to use NFL statistics to handicap a specific game. [/ QUOTE ] Well....I don't. You made the points that Atlanta has a resurgent run D and Bears have no run offense, that Vick's health doesn't matter but then that it does matter, all of which basically eroded your argument for an Atlanta cover. What more else can I say? Btw it's the stat people who've been saying all year that teams like Cleveland will cover, you won't hear that from me.
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#480
12-16-2005, 01:04 PM
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Re: Week 15, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] New England Patriots -4.5 -102 $153.00 to win $150.00 12/16/05 Note: -108 is the highest number to play for a 3 unit bet at -4.5. -124 is the highest number to play for a 2 unit bet. [/ QUOTE ] What is it about this game that makes your system like the favorite here? Does it especially like the Patriots, dislike the Bucs, or both? If you don't mind answering, what does it like or dislike in particular about these teams? Thanks. I only ask because this seems like a strange game to pick the favorite if you're nomrally on the underdog. Tampa seems to be playing about as well as New England, having faced a similar caliber of competition. [/ QUOTE ] when I do pick a game, I'm on the dog 85% of the time. The biggest factor here is it's Tampa's 3rd of the 3 road games, and 4th of 5. Historically teams have a lot of trouble in this situation.
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