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  #461  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:48 PM
Neuge Neuge is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 784
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839

Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.

EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

[/ QUOTE ]
Do you know what year(s) those numbers are from? The ones I've got are significantly different.
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  #462  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:48 PM
By-Tor By-Tor is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: SAYING what others are thinking
Posts: 5,120
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

please unban dead for the weekend

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #463  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:48 PM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: the death of baseball
Posts: 10,765
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
and christ kyle, we get it - you're a good sports bettor. terrific.

[/ QUOTE ]

the money is nice but right now it's allll about the brags of the indians winning
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  #464  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:49 PM
Kos13 Kos13 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Purdue
Posts: 2,118
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839

Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.

EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

[/ QUOTE ]
Do you know what year(s) those numbers are from? The ones I've got are significantly different.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is copyrighted from 2002, though I assumed it had been updated yearly...maybe not.
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  #465  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:50 PM
CharlieDontSurf CharlieDontSurf is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Just call it. Friendo.
Posts: 8,355
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

It is fitting that it all comes down to Roger.
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  #466  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:51 PM
SL__72 SL__72 is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: The gun show.
Posts: 4,023
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Wow, sick bet on the Diamondbacks.

I wish I jumped on the Indians sooner and got the sick early +180.

[/ QUOTE ]

I bet that preseason (Dbacks).

[/ QUOTE ]

I figured. I only bet on them to win the division though, didn't think of taking it further.
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  #467  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:53 PM
THEOSU THEOSU is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: being awesome. duh.
Posts: 7,784
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
It is fitting that it all comes down to Roger.

[/ QUOTE ]

time for his semiannual slow walk off the mound in a crucial game down 4-1 in the 3rd while holding his groin.
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  #468  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:55 PM
Neuge Neuge is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 784
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839

Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.

EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

[/ QUOTE ]
Do you know what year(s) those numbers are from? The ones I've got are significantly different.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is copyrighted from 2002, though I assumed it had been updated yearly...maybe not.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hmm. Looks like they're some conglomeration of the 90s and early 2000s. I usually use this finder.
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  #469  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:57 PM
The Curse of ARod The Curse of ARod is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 33
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
here comes A-Rod in one of those spots Yankee fans will remember forever if he fails.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please. We all know what happened in April and we all know I'm the MVP, AMIRITE?
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  #470  
Old 10-05-2007, 09:57 PM
Kos13 Kos13 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Purdue
Posts: 2,118
Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839

Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.

EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

[/ QUOTE ]
Do you know what year(s) those numbers are from? The ones I've got are significantly different.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is copyrighted from 2002, though I assumed it had been updated yearly...maybe not.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hmm. Looks like they're some conglomeration of the 90s and early 2000s. I usually use this finder.

[/ QUOTE ]

No matter what years I use, I keep getting a higher expected win percentage from 1st and 2nd with zero outs than I do from bases loaded with 1 out.
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