** Official June Chat Thread: The Flush **

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
Everyones talk of bad beats makes me laugh.

What's the probability that you see a flop with a PP 67 times and hit a set only 2 of those times? (HINT: it's way WAY less than someone hitting a 1 outer on the river)

FU Full Tilt... [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

not really

it will happen 0.9% of the time compared to the just over 2% of the time a one-outer hits

not WAY WAY different

there is actually a 1.1% chance of 2 or less sets in 67 pocket pairs that see a flop

reference

it does suck to be so far on the tail end of things

[RyanCMU]

NL 100 is EEEZZZZZ

[raistlinx]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Everyones talk of bad beats makes me laugh.

What's the probability that you see a flop with a PP 67 times and hit a set only 2 of those times? (HINT: it's way WAY less than someone hitting a 1 outer on the river)

FU Full Tilt... [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

not really

it will happen 0.9% of the time compared to the just over 2% of the time a one-outer hits

not WAY WAY different

there is actually a 1.1% chance of 2 or less sets in 67 pocket pairs that see a flop

reference

it does suck to be so far on the tail end of things

[/ QUOTE ]
I may have over emphasized the "way way" part (and I did round up the prob of hitting a set when I did the math) as this is the second time in 40K hands I've been on this bad of extreme variance at FT (the other was with suckouts getting AI with best hands).

So once more for the record FU Full Tilt! [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

[Klompy]

[ QUOTE ]
So once more for the record FU Full Tilt!

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed, want to make a petition to tell them to turn off our doom switches?

[iponnet]

Riverstars feels sorry for me,,,,I think the manager walked over right when the deck op put the K on the flop and said NOOOO one more KK>AA for this guy and he is gona go balastic put that ace in there [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
8 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $199
UTG+1: $200
MP1: $130.80
MP2: $192.15
CO: $187.20
Button: $160.75
SB: $38
BB: $120

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero calls, UTG+1 folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 raises to $8</font>, 5 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $32</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 raises to $56</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $136</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 calls all-in $74.8</font>.
Uncalled bets: $61.2 returned to Hero.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($152.6, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $152.6)


Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($152.6, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $152.6)


River: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($152.6, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $152.6)


Results:
Final pot: $152.6
<font color="#ffffff">Hero showed Ac Ah</font>
<font color="#ffffff">MP1 mucks Ks Kh</font>

[bottomset]

god the regulars run so good against me

[D.L.M.]

we dont run that good, you just kinda suck is all.

POKERSTARS GAME #10306463046: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.50/$1.00) - 2007/06/06 - 19:27:40 (ET)
Table 'Alrami' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Cauley ($59.65 in chips)
Seat 2: bottomset ($101 in chips)
Seat 3: ChuckC3 ($165.30 in chips)
Seat 4: supreme20 ($94.50 in chips)
Seat 5: igotmuddbutt ($88.50 in chips)
Seat 6: monsterpen ($36.10 in chips)
Seat 7: MDMICKEY ($58.10 in chips)
Seat 8: easy_taken ($95.95 in chips)
Seat 9: Taaaa Dowww ($79 in chips)
ChuckC3: posts small blind $0.50
supreme20: posts big blind $1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to supreme20 [Ac Qd]
igotmuddbutt: folds
monsterpen: folds
MDMICKEY: folds
easy_taken: folds
Taaaa Dowww: folds
Cauley: folds
bottomset: raises $3 to $4
ChuckC3: folds
supreme20: raises $8 to $12
bottomset: calls $8
*** FLOP *** [7c 4s 3h]
supreme20: bets $14
bottomset: raises $28 to $42
supreme20: raises $40.50 to $82.50 and is all-in
bottomset said, "jesus you run so good against me"
bottomset: folds
supreme20 collected $105.50 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $108.50 | Rake $3
Board [7c 4s 3h]
Seat 1: Cauley folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: bottomset (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 3: ChuckC3 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: supreme20 (big blind) collected ($105.50)
Seat 5: igotmuddbutt folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: monsterpen folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: MDMICKEY folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: easy_taken folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Taaaa Dowww folded before Flop (didn't bet)

[bottomset]

that is so spewy

and I'm pretty sure my winrate is higher

[D.L.M.]

naw man, you wanna try and dick me around in blind battles, ill spew a little here and there, also expect to see ak, aa, kk, and probalby qq there lots of the time, have fun....

[D.L.M.]

[ QUOTE ]
that is so spewy

and I'm pretty sure my winrate is higher

[/ QUOTE ]

im very proud of you! move up in stakes!