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#401
11-22-2005, 01:18 AM
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Week 11 wrapup
Jacksonville 31-28 Tennessee +4.5 +$50.00; Tennessee to win -$28.99
Dallas 20-7 Detroit +8.5 -$50.00 New England 24-17 New Orleans +10 +$50.00 Tampa Bay 30-27 Atlanta -6 -$50.00; over 39.5 +$50.00 Oakland 16-13 Over 44 -$50.50 Baltimore 16-13 Baltimore +3.5 +$150.00; Baltimore to win +$100.00 Seattle 27-25 San Francisco +13 +$200.00; San Fran to win -$38.52 Who knows what would've followed had Dorsey and co. converted the 2-point conversion. A solid home cover against a tough opponent. San Diego 48-10 Buffalo -$138.89; Buffalo to win -$8.62 Fugly #1. Denver 27-0 NY Jets to win -$5.88; under 40.5 +$50.00 Indianapolis 45-37 Cincinnati +5.5 -$52.05; Cincinnati to win -$25.00; over 48 +$50.00 Kansas City 45-17 Houston +7 -$245.10; Houston -$37.79 Fugly #2. Minnesota 20-17 Green Bay -5.5 -$53.05 Teaser Chicago +9/San Francisco +20 +$50.00 Weekly Total: -0.69 units among 30.69 units transacted. Season Total: -23.86 units among 235.86 units transacted. If it weren't for totals plays, my performance would be quite a bit worse than -23.86 this season. It gives me no consolation that historically successful handicappers are also doing poorly in 2005. My system needs to better be able to weather fave-heavy seasons and is simply not doing well enough this year. I expect a turnaround but thought it would begin a few weeks ago. 
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#402
11-23-2005, 10:45 AM
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Week 12, post 3
Teasers
Detroit +9/NY Jets +7.5 +100 $25.00 to win $25.00 11/23/05 Dallas +8.5/NY Jets +7.5 +100 $25.00 to win $25.00 11/23/05 Detroit +9/Dallas +8 +100 $50.00 to win $50.00 11/22/05 Detroit +9/ Tennessee -2 +100 $25.00 to win $25.00 11/22/05 Dallas +8/Washington +9 +100 $25.00 to win $25.00 11/22/05 Detroit +9/Washington +9 +100 $25.00 to win $25.00 11/22/05 If playing under a 6 point, -110 tease regime, here are the recommended wagers for the week: Detroit +9/Washington +9 -110 $27.50 to win $25.00 Dallas +8.5/NY Jets +7.5 -110 $27.50 to win $25.00 Detroit +9/Dallas +8.5 -110 $68.75 to win $62.50 (this wager is graded at exactly 1.25 units - lower to 1.0u or increase to 1.5u as seen fit)
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#405
11-23-2005, 12:16 PM
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Re: Week 12, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
Detroit +9/Dallas +8 +100 [/ QUOTE ] I really like this tease of Detroit and Dallas. Good recommendation.
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#407
11-23-2005, 12:19 PM
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Re: Week 12, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
No problem, was more of an information thing to those following your bets than a concern [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Lori [/ QUOTE ] Thanks for the info. I figured that but just wanted to make sure.
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#409
11-23-2005, 06:46 PM
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Re: Week 12, post 3
I'm on all these sides in teasers as well, except Wash. Given that Wash+3(+105) is available, are you really getting enough value on your teaser? Wouldn't you be better off just taking Wash+3(+105) or buying to +3.5?
I also had some Chi+9 in the mix which I think is a pretty strong teaser play.
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#410
11-23-2005, 08:56 PM
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Re: Week 12, post 3
[ QUOTE ]
I'm on all these sides in teasers as well, except Wash. Given that Wash+3(+105) is available, are you really getting enough value on your teaser? Wouldn't you be better off just taking Wash+3(+105) or buying to +3.5? I also had some Chi+9 in the mix which I think is a pretty strong teaser play. [/ QUOTE ] Normally yes but I only have Wash. +3 as a play at +108+. It's not a particularly strong game or as a standalone tease but paired with Dall or Det +7.5+, it has value. Your point is solid.
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Linear Mode
