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#32
08-01-2006, 03:28 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
[ QUOTE ]
He can get away from an overpair if I raise too much, but I think $75 would have been good. Hero calls. Turn (Pot is $95ish) is 5 Board is 6 Q 5 5 Villain checks, Hero ???? [/ QUOTE ] Check. Let villain bluff at the river if he doesn't already have enough of a hand to hang himself with already. Raise whatever he bets at the end and hope he has the nut flush or 3 5s, etc. 
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#33
08-01-2006, 03:36 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] $75 to go. If he was CBing with air, this was the end anyway. If he has an overpair or an underset, it was all getting in anyway. If he has QJ, this is a good way to start incrementally pumping the pot so that he will eventually be stuck. I'm not overly concerned about draws here. [/ QUOTE ] He can get away from an overpair if I raise too much, but I think $75 would have been good. Hero calls. Turn (Pot is $95ish) is 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Board is 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Villain checks, Hero ???? [/ QUOTE ] I think your only hope in getting villian to put another chip in the pot is if you check now. <font color="white"> You're going to get 3-outed, aren't you? </font> Edited to add a prediction in white above
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#34
08-01-2006, 03:39 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
flat call his flop bet but take a little time doing it - make him think you are drawing to something. If you pump it up now he'll likely read you correctly for some made hand and throw whatever he has in the muck.
If he has a worse set it's all going to be in the middle later anyway - I think 2 streets is plenty enough time to get the rest in. Smooth call flop - re-evaluate turn depending on what falls, even if his flush hits we still have 10 outs to pair the board. If he has nothing on the turn he might well throw out some bluff to swell the pot some more, if we raise here he's going to throw away anything we beat and leave us with a modest payout - we have a big hand we want to make this pot big... [note - I don't play live, and especially not against Vegas pros, so I might be way out of line here - but thats what I'd do.] [ QUOTE ] Turn (Pot is $95ish) is 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Board is 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Villain checks, Hero ???? [/ QUOTE ] Yahtzee! - think a while - make a weaksauce looking bet of ~half pot and pray he just hit his flush draw and comes OTT. Then you can push the rest of your stack into the middle, or call and drop the rest in on the river depending on how much he raises it up. We have to build this pot in order to get the rest in on the river there's no way he'll call off lots of chips without a good hand here - if he's got it we get paid - if not we weren't making anything here anyway....
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#35
08-01-2006, 03:41 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
[ QUOTE ]
Board is 6 Q 5 5 Villain checks, Hero ???? [/ QUOTE ] Continue the passive line and check. Hope the river improves his hand or that the check induces a bluff. Is the river another 5?
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#36
08-01-2006, 03:43 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
I was going to say half the pot on the turn, but there are a lof of nice cards that could fall on the river (spades, aces, kings) that make a lot of second-best hands that can pay you off, so I would check.
Of course, an ace or a king could give him a better boat.
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#37
08-01-2006, 04:01 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
When the 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] falls on the turn, I agree with Jam that your only play now is to check and obviously raise any river.
Incidentally I think you should raise the flop. He's not folding AA or KK, in fact he could easily threebet you with them, and smooth call/raise the turn is a good way to scare AA and KK off.
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#40
08-01-2006, 04:45 PM
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Re: $1/$2 Hand from MGM - Play Each Street
[ QUOTE ]
I would probably make it $100 on top and call a push. [/ QUOTE ] I don't know if calling a push is a good idea...you will probably lose to some major suckout. Pick a better spot.
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