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#291
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[ QUOTE ]
Based on the amount of criticism he has recieved in this thread, Rolen would be retarded to let this be decided by vote. Also regardless of the outcome of the vote, it would be silly for him to lose th bet when the most complete data supports him. And lastly, as much as a don't think his friends would lie, i don't think high stakes players who are playing sessions with 100k swings neccesarily know the precise balance of their account within 1k when they start a session. No one should win this bet right now... either it's worth it/possible to get conclusive evidence or it isn't. [/ QUOTE ] |
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#292
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[ QUOTE ]
nothing's gonna go down folks..standard 2p2 almosto-propbet [/ QUOTE ] |
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#293
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There's a clear lack of an acceptable theory for the missing $10K from the dataminer's results, which are the only surely unbiased results in this whole thread. Nothing presented makes thus far any sense (ie PT may NOT have imported the 7 hands, but if those were the 7 hands he lost 10K on, then Rolan still wins).
Monies ---> Rolan I'd still like to see the full 1K paid off though. |
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#294
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[ QUOTE ]
Nath, I don't understand your suprise at my insistence of my claim. [/ QUOTE ] Obviously you have a reason once your money is on the line, but you seemed very insistent even before money was wagered on it. also [ QUOTE ] he also could have made his points without being as accusatory towards g2cu and implicating that he meant to misrepresent the results. [/ QUOTE ] I could just be misremembering, though. I don't care THAT much. |
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#295
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fwiw I also think Rolen gives up some EV turning it over to a mass vote.
But damn hes played his hand well so far. And TWP has been a worthy adversary. Any farmers out there who can ship them some corn or a hard working big boned woman? |
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#296
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[ QUOTE ]
He has a total hands of 1254 (412, 68, 774) and i have 1261 (411, 68, 782) I have no idea why, guess it could be alot of thing like some time/pokerclient/tracker-bug on both sides. [/ QUOTE ] It's easy - he got dealt hands UTG he didn't like, he left the table before the blind reached him, so his PT doesn't import the hand, whilst datamining would. |
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#297
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] He has a total hands of 1254 (412, 68, 774) and i have 1261 (411, 68, 782) I have no idea why, guess it could be alot of thing like some time/pokerclient/tracker-bug on both sides. [/ QUOTE ] It's easy - he got dealt hands UTG he didn't like, he left the table before the blind reached him, so his PT doesn't import the hand, whilst datamining would. [/ QUOTE ] It doesnt account for the difference in money, though. If this were the only piece of information I had, I would also find this to be strong evidence. I.e. g2cu's PT has him up 10K, but at 200/400 he is only down 40K while the data miner has him down 50k with 7 extra hands. That's pretty good evidence that g2cu's DB is missing 7 hands in which he lost 10K. However, I am NOT basing my belief on g2cu's pt stats. I'm basing it on the PM he sent me in which he very specifically told me his FTP account balance before and after the session. The fact that his PT stats line up with the PM indicate to me that they are probably accurate and therefore the data miner's seemingly reliable stats are probably off somewhere. |
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#298
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devil's advocate:
how hard would it have been for g2 to say "okay, if i hadn't played these 7 particular hands, i would have $10,xxx more in my account" and PM you those figures, then later doctor his PT stats to remove those 7 hands and therefore reflect the same numbers? very easy, i say. i'm not saying this is the case, i'm just saying you shouldn't expect rolen to pay you based on a PM from g2. actually, based on everything i've seen, as well as the complete withdrawal of g2 from the situation (you'd think such a balla would put a little effort into saving face), i'm thinking rolen's gonna win this bet handily if a dataminer ever comes through with the info. |
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#299
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It would have been easier for g2 to just PM me not to take the bet.
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#300
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i agree with most everything ggbman has said in this thread. esp the part that rolen would be making a terrible bet if he let it be settled by a 2p2 vote.
i think that would be similar to BLUFFTHIS taking a poll after his roll in the brandi thread. bc although he was making good points, the examples and extra info he included in his posts looked bad and people got angry at him for it. |
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