three river call/fold decisions

[aba20]

I like your thought process but this is a fold. A good player is going to punish you if you make calls like this. That said I have not played with villian so I don't know how good he is, but if I were at the table and saw this play I would defenitly take advantage of you in future hands.

[KaneKungFu123]

if he has Ad and the cards you mentioned, then he still has 15 outs.

[samoleus]

yes you are correct (I meant 2-1 when I said 3-1) - but if my hand range assignment is correct, it is still a clear call, no?

[samoleus]

aba20, I do not play the same way against all players. a given opponent's tendencies, moods, my image, etc are all factors in every decision I made.

[aba20]

[ QUOTE ]
aba20, I do not play the same way against all players. a given opponent's tendencies, moods, my image, etc are all factors in every decision I made.

[/ QUOTE ]

fair enough

[leemur]

I guess with your read on the player you can call. But I think most players like myself are making that c/r with set/overpair/flush against players like you.

Also would you have most likely done if opponent had bet turn?

[hit_the_set]

[ QUOTE ]
Flush? I didn't think so. I felt like if he had a big flush, he would undoubtedly want to get value out of it, and he wouldn't blow me off the hand by raising so much.

[/ QUOTE ]

nh and nice post. But you have to realise that opponents are more likely to do this against you or a player like BlD: Maybe this is very player dependent but I wouldn't make a habit of making this call, If I were you.

[BLdSWtTRs]

[ QUOTE ]
yes you are correct (I meant 2-1 when I said 3-1) - but if my hand range assignment is correct, it is still a clear call, no?

[/ QUOTE ]

Its pretty close. I would think he has the ace hi flush draw 65-75% of the time in hand one as played. The other 25-35% of the time you are in very very bad shape.

I wish I could have replied before you posted the results of hand no.1 so I could have been the only one saying you played it correctly.

[samoleus]

leemur I don't think I agree with you. Most players will protect set/overpair/baby flush on a board like that. It's not a situation to go for a check-raise when I can close the action with a return check. I will often check-back with a number of holdings - and then what do you do if a diamond hits?

To answer your question, I would have folded if he bet the turn.

[samoleus]

Bld, it doesn't surprise me that you are on board with me on this one (nor does it surprise me that most players are not). ... I think it is closer to 80-20, but that is nitpicking here.