J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?

[Teh1337zor]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $98.60
BB: $634.70
<font color="black">UTG: $1,529.65</font>
MP: $174.65
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $323.75</font>
<font color="black">BTN: $466.50</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $12.00</font>, MP folds, Hero calls $12.00, BTN calls $12.00, 2 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($42) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $30.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN calls $30.00</font>, UTG folds
<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($102) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($102) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $125.00</font>

from a 26/16/3.5 showed down a big bluff earlier when he r/r AI with a busted open ender on the river

[Nielsio]

Alternative line: bet 60% on flop and 60% on turn, and c/f river?

[delta k]

[ QUOTE ]
Alternative line: bet 60% on flop and 60% on turn, and c/f river?

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wtf?!?! lol

[VanBeek]

Against this player you have too call and make a note.
Also, bet the turn and buy in full.

[Teh1337zor]

[ QUOTE ]
Against this player you have too call and make a note.
Also, bet the turn and buy in full.

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yeah I usually reload to full this is right after a hand and I did it late and it wouldnt let me do it while a hand was in progress

[berserk]

Against a reg I think he has an 8 here almost always. The overbet is to get extra value when you look like you've gone into check-call mode to beat missed draws.

So, fold.

[VegasRunner]

Call and make a note.

I like the call. There is a small chance he's got the 8, but I think he missed his draw. If he doesn't have an 8 and he is ahead of you, he probably wouldn't (shouldn't?) have given a free card on the turn.

[donkmagic]

why not bet the turn?

[xSCWx]

I had a very similar hand to this earlier, I called and he had kings.

I think most of the time you are looking at bottom set or overs with a missed flush draw.

[jsnipes28]

[ QUOTE ]
I had a very similar hand to this earlier, I called and he had kings.

I think most of the time you are looking at bottom set or overs with a missed flush draw.

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so u mean its either KK, bottom set, or missed overs with a flush draw? hmmm