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#21
05-15-2007, 02:35 AM
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Re: A9s utg....play along please! what it do
I'd check and fold to the three Queens.
--Do we really think four people called us with the other two aces, and two gutshots? 
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#22
05-15-2007, 09:52 AM
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Re: A9s utg....play along please! what it do
[ QUOTE ]
i'm a n00bie here, but are we not worried about someone holding a Q here? [/ QUOTE ] Me noobie too. But if I understand correctly, there is about 35% chance of a Q in the other 10 cards (1-(1-2/47)^10)). Then for every $1 you bet you are collecting $0.65 from each caller and paying out $0.35 to the pot, on average. This is very simplified, ignoring other possibilities (e.g., AA, flush, etc).
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#23
05-15-2007, 10:21 AM
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Re: A9s utg....play along please! what it do
Chino,
I like your play up until the turn. My first inclination is to fire again and fold to a raise, since a free card could be potentially disasterous. Also, in live play, if someone pops the turn, I think it's a Q something like ~100% of the time. However, if you check and one person bets, one calls and the action's on you, you're left with a legitmately tough decision. On the other hand, if you bet and then get raised, I think you can easily muck it assuming the players in question have no tricky to them (which is probably the case given the pink game.)
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