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  #21  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:29 PM
Alk3 Alk3 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 54
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
im a roulette guy myself. don't listen to these idiots.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank You.

[/ QUOTE ]

The idea is that since you missed your last 19 flushes, it doesnt mean you REALLY should mad number 20.

The odds of missing 20 flushes in a row are small, but these are separate events and time is a factor.

Your arguments is basically saying "the odds are small that I will miss 20 flushes in a row." This is true. But the statemet "I should make a flush now because I have missed my last 19 and it's very rare to make 20 in a row" is very false.

I think I just got punked.

[/ QUOTE ]

How can you say one and not the tother? If things didn't even out then probability wouldn't work. Probability does work, things even out, therefore, it is more likely (I"M not saying definite, I'm not even saying VERY likely), just more likely, that something that hasn't happenned in a while, but shoudl have, will happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

Again....NO. Now go away. You bother me.
  #22  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:30 PM
master_hellmuth master_hellmuth is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Reading Small Stakes Holdem
Posts: 134
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
im a roulette guy myself. don't listen to these idiots.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank You.

[/ QUOTE ]

The idea is that since you missed your last 19 flushes, it doesnt mean you REALLY should mad number 20.

The odds of missing 20 flushes in a row are small, but these are separate events and time is a factor.

Your arguments is basically saying "the odds are small that I will miss 20 flushes in a row." This is true. But the statemet "I should make a flush now because I have missed my last 19 and it's very rare to make 20 in a row" is very false.

I think I just got punked.

[/ QUOTE ]

How can you say one and not the tother? If things didn't even out then probability wouldn't work. Probability does work, things even out, therefore, it is more likely (I"M not saying definite, I'm not even saying VERY likely), just more likely, that something that hasn't happenned in a while, but shoudl have, will happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

Again....NO. Now go away. You bother me.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you don't have anything consturctive too say you dont have to say anything.
  #23  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:35 PM
Alk3 Alk3 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 54
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
im a roulette guy myself. don't listen to these idiots.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank You.

[/ QUOTE ]

The idea is that since you missed your last 19 flushes, it doesnt mean you REALLY should mad number 20.

The odds of missing 20 flushes in a row are small, but these are separate events and time is a factor.

Your arguments is basically saying "the odds are small that I will miss 20 flushes in a row." This is true. But the statemet "I should make a flush now because I have missed my last 19 and it's very rare to make 20 in a row" is very false.

I think I just got punked.

[/ QUOTE ]

How can you say one and not the tother? If things didn't even out then probability wouldn't work. Probability does work, things even out, therefore, it is more likely (I"M not saying definite, I'm not even saying VERY likely), just more likely, that something that hasn't happenned in a while, but shoudl have, will happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

Again....NO. Now go away. You bother me.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you don't have anything consturctive too say you dont have to say anything.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's TO, not too. If you can't master basic grammar, don't expect to be able to wrap your brain around this tricky probability stuff. It's pretty advanced.
  #24  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:37 PM
master_hellmuth master_hellmuth is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Reading Small Stakes Holdem
Posts: 134
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
im a roulette guy myself. don't listen to these idiots.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank You.

[/ QUOTE ]

The idea is that since you missed your last 19 flushes, it doesnt mean you REALLY should mad number 20.

The odds of missing 20 flushes in a row are small, but these are separate events and time is a factor.

Your arguments is basically saying "the odds are small that I will miss 20 flushes in a row." This is true. But the statemet "I should make a flush now because I have missed my last 19 and it's very rare to make 20 in a row" is very false.

I think I just got punked.

[/ QUOTE ]

How can you say one and not the tother? If things didn't even out then probability wouldn't work. Probability does work, things even out, therefore, it is more likely (I"M not saying definite, I'm not even saying VERY likely), just more likely, that something that hasn't happenned in a while, but shoudl have, will happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

Again....NO. Now go away. You bother me.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you don't have anything consturctive too say you dont have to say anything.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's TO, not too. If you can't master basic grammar, don't expect to be able to wrap your brain around this tricky probability stuff. It's pretty advanced.

[/ QUOTE ]

You wana play heads up? I'll play you on Party Poker right now.
  #25  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:39 PM
Alk3 Alk3 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 54
Default Re: Problem with your book

I don't play poker. Just roulette. I find a wheel that's spun black five times in a row, bet big on red, and win everytime. I'm rich.
  #26  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:41 PM
master_hellmuth master_hellmuth is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Reading Small Stakes Holdem
Posts: 134
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
I don't play poker. Just roulette. I find a wheel that's spun black five times in a row, bet big on red, and win everytime. I'm rich.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats what I thought, afraid to put your money where your mouth is. If you do decide to grow some balls, I'm free till about 3:20, and then again after 4:30.
  #27  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:42 PM
midnight24 midnight24 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 83
Default Re: Problem with your book

Always, i mean always, bet on black.
  #28  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:44 PM
master_hellmuth master_hellmuth is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Reading Small Stakes Holdem
Posts: 134
Default Re: Problem with your book

[ QUOTE ]
Always, i mean always, bet on black.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats just silly.
  #29  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:45 PM
midnight24 midnight24 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 83
Default Re: Problem with your book

Not according to Wesley Snipes, one of the most successful movie-star / roulette players out there.
  #30  
Old 01-03-2006, 03:47 PM
Niediam Niediam is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Michigan
Posts: 4,269
Default Re: Problem with your book

We should be deleting the trolls... not feeding them. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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