Chance of predicting exact basketball scores?

HedonismBot · #1 01-11-2007, 12:33 AM

Hi, I was wondering what you guys think the average chance of guessing the exact outcome of a basketball game was if given only 1 try. Would this vary much from college to pro? Also how much variability could you expect depending on who was playing? Thank you for any responses/insight.

HedonismBot · #2 01-11-2007, 01:47 AM

Anybody? Or to put it another way, what odds would you need to place a bet on an exact score? 50-1? 100-1? 30-1? Thanks

Rainbow Warrior · #3 01-11-2007, 02:00 AM

I'd offer 175-1 and take 400

HedonismBot · #4 01-11-2007, 02:40 AM

Thanks. Anyone else want to chime in what they think a fair bet would be?

knicknut · #5 01-11-2007, 03:24 AM

They'd be correlated and evenly distributed, but assuming 20 point equally distributed range for each team, 20x20 = 400 to 1, so I'd guess somewhere in the 300-500 to 1 range.

HedonismBot · #6 01-11-2007, 04:16 AM

Thanks knicknut, I'm also gonna add a poll so hopefully get a few more responses, thank guys.

View Poll Results: Temperature of ales
Cold	4	33.33%
Chilled	4	33.33%
Room Temp	0	0%
This is gay	4	33.33%
Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll