High Stakes Poker 2/6/06 - Page 3

csuf_gambl0r · #21 02-07-2006, 01:21 AM

wtf daniel just flopped a set with pocket 3 but he said he has "trips"

A_Junglen · #22 02-07-2006, 01:24 AM

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wtf daniel just flopped a set with pocket 3 but he said he has "trips"

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Oh damn

csuf_gambl0r · #23 02-07-2006, 01:42 AM

omg that 8 on the river was fugging sick. Daniel running bad

Jehaim · #24 02-07-2006, 01:48 AM

Post deleted by Dids

streetz · #25 02-07-2006, 03:26 AM

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omg that 8 on the river was fugging sick. Daniel running bad

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running bad? nobody else thoought the a-10 was a bad play since he said it himself that eli wasn't gona fold.

dwd · #26 02-07-2006, 04:12 AM

Don't know if it has been discussed. I tried to search but couldn't find anything. What is the deal with seemingly intelligent people running a hand twice when they know they are a 70/30 dog. I understand why you run it twice when it's a coin flip but Daniel turned down the offer to run it twice when he was a 70/30 favorite, then took the offer when he was a 70/30 dog. That's just stupid. Why would you ever run it twice after you know you're a 70/30 dog?

THAY3R · #27 02-07-2006, 04:40 AM

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Don't know if it has been discussed. I tried to search but couldn't find anything. What is the deal with seemingly intelligent people running a hand twice when they know they are a 70/30 dog. I understand why you run it twice when it's a coin flip but Daniel turned down the offer to run it twice when he was a 70/30 favorite, then took the offer when he was a 70/30 dog. That's just stupid. Why would you ever run it twice after you know you're a 70/30 dog?

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There's this thing called variance...

gilbert · #28 02-07-2006, 04:52 AM

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wtf daniel just flopped a set with pocket 3 but he said he has "trips"

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?

phiphika1453 · #29 02-07-2006, 05:00 AM

Running it twice does not change the EV of the hand. Please dont argue just know that it is true. All it does is reduce the variance.

Do a search in the 6 month to 1 year range in the omaha forum. There was a very good discussion of this earlier.

Mano · #30 02-07-2006, 05:12 AM

As a 70/30 dog by running it twice you change from winning 30% and losing 70% to winning 9% losing 49% and splitting 42% (equity of .4*pot in both cases). Choosing the latter lowers your variance.