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#21
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[ QUOTE ]
It really isn't. Think of your ability to take down pots as something finite (which it is, which is the reason why raising every single hand will eventually get you more callers) and you can even use a cute metaphor. I think a useful one is bullets in a gun. Let's say I can fire 6 bullets per session (bets into pots that make my opponent fold no matter what) - would I rather use these in the nothing pots or the gigantic ones? The answer is clear; you'd use them in the big pots! [/ QUOTE ] I disagree a lot. here is an example I have 93o in the BB CO limps SB completes and 3 of us see the flop which comes 8 high ragged . SB checks, I check and the CO checks. Turn is a brick - SB checks it to me and I bet the pot (a whopping 3BB) and CO and SB fold the hand - these are the small pot situations I am talking about. It's plain noone has hit anything and everyone is just wating for someone to bet so they can fold and see the next hand... I think we have (to use your metaphor) 2 guns - a big gun that we fire at BIG pots - and a small gun that we fire at nothing pots - we may well have a fixed amount of bullets in each gun - but noone really takes much notice of what happen n the small pots, unless you really overdo it. Lets say in the course of 1 session I take down 10 of these orphan tiny pots that noone realy cares too much about. Thats 10 tiny bluffs spaced out over a couple of hours for a total extra profit of 30BB or around 1/3 of a buyin. You are really telling me that because I have fired at small pots now and then that villains are much more likely to call my semi-bluff bullets when I fire at big pots????? I don't think so. NOT at SSNL tables. The majority of the villains we play here are awful and lack the talent and the inclination to notice things like that, if you aren't overdoing it and only firing now and then at selected orphan pots. [ QUOTE ] If you don't think there's a relationship between how often your cbets get called and how often you take stabs at pots where people can guess that you have nothing, then you are adopting a view of the trees that neglects to see the forest. [/ QUOTE ] of COURSE there is - this is really basic stuff I think. but I don't believe the relationship between the two is as strong as you are suggesting. [ QUOTE ] But once again, like I said - for certain people betting into nothing pots can certainly be +EV. But for the best players, this usually isn't the case. [/ QUOTE ] It's super deluxe extra EV+ with cheese if I pickup a hand within a couple of hands of firing a bluff - for some reason I tend to get called more often if I fire at 2 pots in quick succession and I never fire twice without the goods the second time around. And the more often you fire bluffs the more likely you are to hit a real hand shortly afterwards wher you are rooting for villains to call your bets and not fold out. |
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