Week 1 CFB Notions

[maxtower]

Mark my words, Akron will be crushed by PSU. I believe this game will be reminiscent of the game in '99 when PSU laid 70 on Akron. PSU has incredible talent at receiver and will most likely be passing over them all day. The best line backing corps in the country will also not be giving up many points.
Disclaimer: I am one of the worlds biggest Penn State fans, and frequently predict them to win National Championships.

[MicroBob]

I'm a MAC follower and I would be surprised if Akron kept this game reasonable.

This would be a 'no play' for me though. If the line was 22 or something then I would be considering Akron pretty strongly.

I'm surprised Fezzik is so strongly in Akron's camp at only 15-17 points or whatever.

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm surprised Fezzik is so strongly in Akron's camp at only 15-17 points or whatever.

[/ QUOTE ]

He was strongly in favor at 18, which is significantly different than 15.

I was gonna buy it back once the line got to 15.5, but then it moved to 16.5 and so I'm just sticking with Akron.

ZIPS!

[maxtower]

If PSU can't crush Akron by more than 17 points then I've got more problems than the $50 I have on this game.

[NajdorfDefense]

Miami - FSU U41 2 units. Miami missing Moss and Moore, best defense at UM in about 15 years.

Buffalo -6 Temple 1 unit, may add.

[ML4L]

[ QUOTE ]


Buffalo -6 Temple 1 unit, may add.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have yet to hear anyone attempt to cap this game. I'd love to hear your angle...

ML4L

[NajdorfDefense]

Temple is historically awful in the early season.
Fall 2005 16-63 v ASU, 0-65 Wisky, 17-42 home Toledo.
2004 - 17-45 at Toledo, 16-70 BGreen.
2003 - lost to 1-aa Villanova. Etc.

New coach, no QB. Seven returning starters. 7. Only 35 guys return from last year's woeful squad.

FB out for year with neck injury. Walk-on starting at WR. Owls replace entire kicking game.
Defense gave up 45ppg last year, will be *worse* this year [defense, not ppg in the MAC], lost most guys to graduation, starting S left the team, playing a lot of true frosh.

Figure playing home is worth at least 3 pts here to Buffalo.
Buffalo has 47 guys returning and a big O-line. Chad Upshaw may be playing TE in the NFL next year.
Secondary led MAC in passing D last year, all four return. 2004's leading rusher back from injury.

Yeah, yeah, this is all known, but it's not like people focus on this game opening w/e of cfb. 21-10 Buffalo.

[sfwusc]

The USC in my name stands for South Carolina, so take this for what it is worth.

I would a little worried about thinking we can't score. We will put up some points. The Oline will be much improved, and those skilled position have some talent.

The Sec will not be as weak as people think. We are going to play about 14 of 22 freshmen, but reports from practices have been good. Reports last year said we were the worse team Steve ever coached. We won 7.

We are young and will make freshmen mistakes, but I am looking to see 7-8 wins this season.

Also, we will be starting a freshmen at QB by midseason.

I am going to take the USC in the game, bc the report I have heard out of MSU....haven't said much for them.

[iggymcfly]

I haven't really put a whole lot of thought into this week's lines yet as I usually base most of my analysis on watching the teams play, and I don't bet very heavy the first couple weeks of the season. I haven't placed any bets yet either as I'm waiting for a Neteller transfer to go through.

With that said, the one line that really jumps out at me is Texas -41. In Texas, you have a team that consistently blows out weak opponents year in and year out, going against a North Texas team that consistently gets blown out in non-conference games and is now way down from years past, looking like one of the weakest teams in the Sun Belt.

Factor in that Mack Brown's going to want to get both QBs work and will be passing late into the second half, and I think this line would have value at -50. Seriously, I can't imagine the Horns scoring less than 60 in this game or UNT scoring more than 7.

One other thing I wanted to mention is the Kentucky/Louisville game. Why do people like Kentucky here? Louisville always blows people out at Papa John's, and they look to have the most talented team in Petrino's tenure. They tend to let down in mid-season road games, but in a home opener against a rival, I'd expect them to win by at least 4 TDs. -22.5 sounds like a bargain to me.

[pirateboy]

I still haven't laid any units yet because I'm new and being wayyyy to careful.

Lately, I've been feeling good about:

Hawaii (+16) @ Alabama (mentioned this one before)
BYU (+7) @ Arizona
Florida State @ Miami (-4')
Idaho (+29) @ Michigan State (mentioned before)
Vanderbilt (+25') @ Michigan (mentioned before)
TCU (-8') @ Baylor

I'm now beginning to sway away from:

Rutgers (+5') @ North Carolina
Akron (+16) @ Penn State
Utah (+3') @ UCLA

And still confused with:

South Carolina (-7) @ Miss State