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  #21  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:35 PM
Rob* Rob* is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

Currently Bet365 has 7-1 for Rizen to make it to the final table.
Seems like a great price to me and far better value than opting for an each way bet.
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  #22  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:38 PM
Gildwulf Gildwulf is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

Victor,

I'm betting max on Rizen, Prahlad and Cunningham to make the FT. Also going to bet max on them making 1st and see what happens.
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  #23  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:38 PM
aeest400 aeest400 is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

Rizen said Eric Molina is 21 and was drinking Jack and Cokes all day (hence the A10 call). That's gonna be some good TV.
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  #24  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:41 PM
dfbuzzbeater dfbuzzbeater is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Who was the crazy player in Seat 9 of Rizen's table that he talks about in his podcast? He said he was drinking Jack & Cokes all day and making some crazy plays.

[/ QUOTE ]
I think that would be Eric Molina, the kid who threw his all in button at the chip leader.

[/ QUOTE ]

Elaborate or link please.
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  #25  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:42 PM
Everybody Lurks Everybody Lurks is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

Eric Molina seemed to be a real douchebag. He got a penalty for using the F word and was over on the rail harrassing other tables and continuing to curse.
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  #26  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:48 PM
aeest400 aeest400 is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

[ QUOTE ]
Elaborate or link please.

[/ QUOTE ]

http://www.cardplayer.com/multimedia/videos/id/19340


Also:

Sun Aug 06 22:19:00 PDT 2006
Molina Takes One From Gold
With a board showing A632 Gold checks and Molina bets $100,000 into the $200,000 pot. Gold raises to $300,000 total and Molina re-raises all-in for $700,000 more. As Gold ponders the call Molina starts talking to him, "You got caught... just fold... stop wasting time, I have the best hand." Molina then tosses his "all-in" chip at Golds chest and Gold throws it right back at him. Molina continues to talk Gold into folding and eventually Gold folds. Shortly after the pot is raked to Molina he drops an "F-Bomb." Gold calls a floorman over and Molina gets a penalty for 10 mintues. As Molina leaves he tells Gold how much he enjoys the chips he just took off him. Expect these two to continue bucking heads throughout the rest of the tournament.
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  #27  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:52 PM
Gildwulf Gildwulf is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

Rizen is at 7-1 against to make the final table and he has plenty of chips given the blind structure. How is this not a +EV bet.
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  #28  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:55 PM
waxie waxie is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

[ QUOTE ]
Victor,

I'm betting max on Rizen, Prahlad and Cunningham to make the FT. Also going to bet max on them making 1st and see what happens.

[/ QUOTE ]

What is the max bet?
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  #29  
Old 08-07-2006, 01:56 PM
Nate. Nate. is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

[ QUOTE ]
If the tournament truly were an all-in fest, where your stack essentially did a random walk, I defer to the theory gurus but I suspect your chance of winning would be exactly equal to the percentage of chips in play that you hold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Indeed. This is seen easily as a direct consequence of the linearity of the expectation function. If you're taking a bunch of all-ins with no long-term best or worst of it, then all those EV-zero operations have to have a cumulative EV of zero, so if the only possible payouts are zero and all the chips, P(all the chips) must equal your fraction of the chips.

By the way, Doug Kim is probably a good bet but might still be demoralized from his recent defeat to me in heads-up freezeout action. Indeed, I believe this to be the most recent non-tournament poker he has played.

More seriously, I think Rizen (Eric Lynch) is a good bet. I have no idea how good he is, but he probably has an edge enough to compensate for the smallish disparity between his chip percentage and the odds on him, and if there is even a few percent chance that each of the two big chipleaders is bad, that would also be enough to compensate. (That is, so much of the first-place equity is tied up in the leaders that either of them sucking and only being worth two-thirds or whatever of that equity would be a boon for the field.)

--Nate
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  #30  
Old 08-07-2006, 02:00 PM
Gildwulf Gildwulf is offline
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Default Re: WSOP Day 6 Main Event Thread

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Victor,

I'm betting max on Rizen, Prahlad and Cunningham to make the FT. Also going to bet max on them making 1st and see what happens.

[/ QUOTE ]

What is the max bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

It is listed as 100-something...I'm trying to get it increased with a customer service rep

edit: you can make multiple bets of 100 on the same person
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