Week-long prop bet

[thunk]

Sick that you're actually going to make it. I've been silently rooting.

[plusEVdg]

Exactly what limits are you playing right now? Sit'n'gos, cash games, 45 man MTTS, ect - you play at PStars right?

[Ontario_Tory]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Pardon my ignorance, but what's a martingale?

From the context of the conversation I'm guessing it's playing a bunch of HU matches in a row - escalating the buy-in if you lose.

Anyone?


[/ QUOTE ]

You are correct.



[/ QUOTE ]

Google & Wiki are your friends for this one - some interesting articles and calculators.

Originally a Blackjack theory - basically if you start with a small bet, and double it every time you lose, eventually you'll win and come out ahead. What it doesn't consider is the fact that Casinos have maximum bets / maximum payouts, which means that when you hit a dry spell, you're gonna tap out and lose a bundle.

Nate - been sweating today - you'd better polish that luckbox... It seems to be rusty so far this morning... GOGOGO!

[Nate.]

***NOTE: THIS POST WAS COMPOSED AT 7 AM EST***

plusEVdog --

I'm playing 45-man SNGs, mostly.

thunk --

Thanks for rooting. Hope you didn't jinx me right there.

All --

***13 HOURS TO GO***

I think I misquoted the time remaining at some point. The bet ends at 8 EST, not 7. This is confirmed by finding the first hand history of this challenge:

[ QUOTE ]
PokerStars Game #7903886169: Omaha Hi/Lo Limit ($0.02/$0.04) - 2007/01/12 - 20:22:41 (ET)
Table 'Adria' 10-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: olygene ($0.99 in chips)
Seat 2: 5oclockclub ($0.19 in chips)
Seat 3: collectiveen ($0.81 in chips)
Seat 4: luckynuts1 ($0.54 in chips)
Seat 5: harrison42 ($1.18 in chips)
Seat 6: Mortal Limit ($0.20 in chips)
Seat 7: frictionguy1 ($0.51 in chips)
Seat 8: phungus ($1.33 in chips)
Seat 9: henk63 ($0.56 in chips)
Seat 10: MJH121351 ($0.44 in chips)
harrison42: posts small blind $0.01
Mortal Limit: posts big blind $0.02
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mortal Limit [Qs Td 3d 7s]
frictionguy1: calls $0.02
phungus: folds
henk63: folds
MJH121351: calls $0.02
olygene: calls $0.02
5oclockclub: folds
collectiveen: folds
luckynuts1: calls $0.02
harrison42: calls $0.01
Mortal Limit: checks
*** FLOP *** [4s Ks 6s]
harrison42: checks
Mortal Limit: bets $0.02
frictionguy1: calls $0.02
MJH121351: calls $0.02
olygene: calls $0.02
luckynuts1: calls $0.02
harrison42: folds
*** TURN *** [4s Ks 6s] [Kc]
Mortal Limit: bets $0.04
frictionguy1: calls $0.04
MJH121351: calls $0.04
olygene: calls $0.04
luckynuts1: calls $0.04
*** RIVER *** [4s Ks 6s Kc] [9h]
Mortal Limit: bets $0.04
frictionguy1: calls $0.04
MJH121351: folds
olygene: folds
luckynuts1: calls $0.04
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Mortal Limit: shows [Qs Td 3d 7s] (HI: a flush, King high)
frictionguy1: shows [4c 4d 3s 3h] (HI: a full house, Fours full of Kings)
luckynuts1: mucks hand
frictionguy1 collected $0.52 from pot
No low hand qualified
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $0.54 | Rake $0.02
Board [4s Ks 6s Kc 9h]
Seat 1: olygene folded on the River
Seat 2: 5oclockclub folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: collectiveen folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: luckynuts1 (button) mucked [Ac 2c 8s As]
Seat 5: harrison42 (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: Mortal Limit (big blind) showed [Qs Td 3d 7s] and lost with HI: a flush, King high
Seat 7: frictionguy1 showed [4c 4d 3s 3h] and won ($0.52) with HI: a full house, Fours full of Kings
Seat 8: phungus folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: henk63 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: MJH121351 folded on the River

[/ QUOTE ]

Hope I run well today.

--Nate

[Nate.]

All --

Knock on wood, but I have $917 and have good stacks in two 6x45's.

Earlier today, when I started off with a decent set of SNGs and broke 900, I switched to $6 of various forms to prevent a big downswing.

Wish me luck --

--Nate

[Logun]

Good luck! It's going to be amazing when you win

5$ into $1000 +300 original bet +200 another side bet.

that's awesome!

[justkevin]

This is a pretty exciting thread, go nate!

[Nate.]

All --

$959.26 and alive in three SNGs, including a FT.

Playing for third,

--Nate

[danzasmack]

Nate,

Great thread, impressive, etc. Good luck.

[Nate.]

Danza -

Thanks. Maybe you can help me with some of the $.02/$.04 limit hands I botched.

--Nate