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#191
07-31-2006, 02:08 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
Dynasty,
Personal baggage has little to do with this awful display you've conjured up. I don't want people getting the idea that since you've got green letters and a five figure post count that it gives you a shred of authority on multi-table tournament strategy. 
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#192
07-31-2006, 02:08 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
[ QUOTE ]
I still want to know where the 50% came from [/ QUOTE ] Chance of being eliminated: .30 + (.7 * .3) = .51 In back to back 70/30 situations, you'll be eliminated 30% the first time. In the 70% of the times survive, you'll be eliminated 30% of the time (.7 *.3). So, in two back to back 70/30 hands, you are likely to be knocked out of the tournament.
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#193
07-31-2006, 02:09 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
why dont you just do .7 squared
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#194
07-31-2006, 02:10 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
Dynasty,
You are wrong, you have to take every 70/30 presented to you in a field this big. Sure it makes your chances of busting go up, but you can't win a tournament this big without doing it. How many $10k buyin NL events have you cashed in to come up with your expert opinions? I haven't even played any myself, but I am certainly trusting the judgment of those like Clayton listed over yours.
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#195
07-31-2006, 02:14 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
Fck my judgment, let's try Fossilman, Matt Matros, Shaniac, Sirio, MLG, Paul Phillips, and every other respected MTT'er that posts in 2p2. Maybe that will be enough.
Done w thread. gg.
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#196
07-31-2006, 02:15 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I still want to know where the 50% came from [/ QUOTE ] Chance of being eliminated: .30 + (.7 * .3) = .51 In back to back 70/30 situations, you'll be eliminated 30% the first time. In the 70% of the times survive, you'll be eliminated 30% of the time (.7 *.3). So, in two back to back 70/30 hands, you are likely to be knocked out of the tournament. [/ QUOTE ] So flipping coins head/tails 50/50 two times... head=.5+(.5*.5)=0.75 tails=.5+(.5*.5)=.75 ???
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#197
07-31-2006, 02:15 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
guys back off of dynasy. he corrected himself already.
and he's right, if you have to be 70% for al your chips to win twice, that's .7^2 = 49%, so you're out 51%
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#199
07-31-2006, 02:17 AM
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Re: WSOP Main Event Day 1C Sweat
[ QUOTE ]
guys back off of dynasy. he corrected himself already [/ QUOTE ] corrected himself =! elitist "you are reading too much into it" [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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