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#11
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Grunch:
I would reraise to get BB out, since you don't want him tagging along, and also, what happened to BB? if you are on the button and then BB should act after you????? i would reraise against this loose guy, he probably has a queen but not top kickerand you can find out where you are exactly with a reraises while it's cheap, i would put UTG on KK or JJ or TT, but i think probably not KK or AA |
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#12
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[ QUOTE ]
I hate it when people limp RR PF, cause it seems like half the time they have total crap, half the time they have JJ+.... Anyways here's the reads: UTG+1 is 50/1.5/.7 after about 400 hands. Most of the hands I have on him are from mining, but so far he seems like a typical loose-passive and hasn't done anything tricky or out of line yet. BB is 19/7/1.9 after about 200 hands. Again most hands from mining, but so far this session, he's played more like a tight passive player than his stats suggest. Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Preflop: Dave is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Dave raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 3-bets</font>, Dave calls, BB calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, Dave dies a little inside and then.........??? I suppose you could argue all three options, but one of them has to be best.....I just can't figure out which. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] make it 3. see what happens. |
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#13
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You're getting 6:1 on a call. It's possible that UTG+1 just has a wild hare and is trying to push everybody off the pot; did he just lose/win a big pot or anything?
BB, otoh, is more likely to have a legit hand, prolly 99/66 (his stats look pretty tight-passive to me, at least), but might also be capable of a protection play with a weak queen or strong 6 or 9. If he's smart enough to make the latter play, tho, he's also smart enough to smooth-call the flop and punish you on the turn with one of the former hands. 3-bet. Call a cap, fold the turn UI, even for only one bet. If the flop isn't capped, check the turn through UI and call one on the river. Look these guys up. |
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#14
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After 400 hands, UTG has raised only 1.5% preflop. Here he limps then 3-bets. I don't think he has crap. This play is screaming AA. However, I definitely wouldn't fold. Against most opponent I would 3-bet this, but I just think we are behind so much here I would probably just call down.
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#15
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[ QUOTE ]
I've never been at the tables with the limp rr meaning crap hands, they are always in the AA-QQ range. [/ QUOTE ] The ones that reach showdown, sure. But I get limp-RRed quite a bit by players who don't reach showdown, with boards that shouldn't be too scary to somebody with a big pocket pair. Of course, knowing the type of player and the way the table's been playing helps a lot in figuring out what a limp-RR means. Somebody on the small stakes board did some research with PokerTracker to come up with a limp-RR picture: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...&PHPSESSID= My experience is that limp-RR at microlimits is more often an indication of tilt than a big hand. Knowing the player is obviously pretty important in figuring out which it is. |
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#16
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[ QUOTE ]
12.5:2 = 6.25:1 that you hit a Q,A on turn. JJ = winning QQ = screwed KK = you have 2 outs to Q's, 3 outs to A AA = you have 2 outs to Q's [AA,KK] 16.32% equity according to pokerstove. EV(call)= 16.32%*12.5SB - 83.68%*2SB = +0.3664SB EV(raise)= 16.32%*12.5SB - 83.68%*3SB = -0.47SB [QQ-AA] 14.7% equity EV(call)= 14.7%*12.5SB - 85.3%*2SB = +0.1315SB EV(raise)= 14.7%*12.5SB - 85.3%*3SB = -0.7215SB [JJ-AA] 42.2% equity EV(call)= 42.2%*12.5SB - 57.8%*2SB = +4.12SB EV(raise)= 42.2%*12.5SB - 57.8%*3SB = +3.54SB So for every case, raising is definitely out and folding is definitely out. I would call. [/ QUOTE ] This doesn't give an accurate picture of the EV. If you hit your "outs" i.e. your A or Q....you have to put in another two big bets to showdown.....and still have a loss against AA. You can't use the equity calculations of Poker Stove (which go to showdown) to compute an EV for the turn. |
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#17
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Just don't fold. I'd make it 3 bets, but coldcalling to see what BB does is a good option as well.
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#18
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[ QUOTE ]
did he just lose/win a big pot or anything? [/ QUOTE ] Not that I remember. He's pretty much just a passive calling type. [ QUOTE ] 3-bet. Call a cap, fold the turn UI, even for only one bet. If the flop isn't capped, check the turn through UI and call one on the river. Look these guys up. [/ QUOTE ] I think I like this line the best. It shows the other players we're not going to be f'ed with and lets us know where we're really at if it gets capped and/or we're led into on the turn. After all UTG+1 is really passive and BB is fairly passive. If either one of them is trying to get out of line on the flop, I think 3-betting will get them to chill out. But...what if we check though the turn and the river goes bet, call (assuming both opponents still around)? Can we over-call with this hand (assuming no scary cards come)? |
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#19
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I fold the flop without much thought. Player with 1.5 PFR limp reraises, I think this is AA/KK like all the time.
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#20
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3-bet call if capped and fold to a turn bet UI
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