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Old 08-07-2007, 05:09 PM
runningmarvel runningmarvel is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: deep down in the microlimits
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Default Re: Calculating Odds and Outs

[ QUOTE ]
The rule of 4 and 2 is not an accurate measure, it was designed to make a rough estimate of your chances. The bad thing about this rule is that is assumes that your chances on the turn are always twice as large as your chances on the river which can lead to overestimating your chances on that street.

[/ QUOTE ] Which is exactly the point. The 4&2 rule i designed the odds for both streets, but the first püart of the rule is flawed if you have to call another bet on the turn. Example: you have a flush draw on the flop, the chance to make it be the RIVER is 1.86 to 1. If you have to call a another bet on the turn though you can only calculate with odds of 4.22:1, as you don't get to see both remaining cards for the amount of money you paid on the flop. If you call someones all-in on the flop, then of course you can calculate with the 1.86:1 odds, as you get to see both cards for sure.
I would be astonished if anyone actually understood what I meant here [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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