Variance: AA W%SD rate

[MasterLJ]

Are you guys sure you are looking at the correct statistic?

PT will show "Win %" and they will show "Win at showdown". One should be in the low to mid 90% and the other should be 65-80%. The one I'm looking for is in the far right column.

[ikestoys]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
.5/1 90%
1/2 90%
2/4 77%
5/10 85%
10/25 100% --> Small sample

The rest are at least 8k hands tho

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank you very much. Can you please put how many occurrences you had of AA at each stake if it wouldn't be too much trouble?

[/ QUOTE ]

.5/1 - 87 (had just switched computers)
1/2 - 142
2/4 - 40 (moved up real fast)
5/10 - 197
10/25 - 5

[Orlando Salazar]

can u filter for # of opponents?
I'm 68% at showdown.

[MasterLJ]

[ QUOTE ]
can u filter for # of opponents?
I'm 68% at showdown.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think so. I'm not 100% sure. How many samples of AA is that?

[Orlando Salazar]

114

[AtlBrvs4Life]

[ QUOTE ]
can u filter for # of opponents?
I'm 68% at showdown.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. Go to preferences tab, then check use # of players in hand filter, and choose how many players you want to filter by.

[Symbolic]

200NL, 319 samples, 78.38% W$SD

[MasterLJ]

BTW, this is inherently very prone to variance because out of a large sample of AA, you probably only show down 1/4 of the time.

Even so, if you do a binary distribution with N = 30+ trials and P = 0.74 and 1 - P = 0.26, being less than 65% is pretty crazy bad luck.

[Neuge]

[ QUOTE ]
being less than 65% is pretty crazy bad luck.

[/ QUOTE ]
Unless you really suck and don't know when to let it go.

[riverruss]

$10 to $50 nl 47K hands
202 win% 91.09 W$SD 82.86