My thoughts on last nights Idol..

[Aloysius]

Analyst:

[ QUOTE ]
- Stephanie is very good (last night was an abberation), but won't get past mid-pack at best (say, number 7-9, after the dead money is out) due to Melinda and LaKisha

[/ QUOTE ]

It always suprises me to hear that "Sabrina was much better than Stephanie" - I'm a fan (no money on her) - Stephanie not only has a solid voice but is a great performer.

I am afraid she is gone tonight - but even if she sticks around not sure if anyone has noticed... pretty sure she's losing her voice. Sounding somewhat strained and her voice is cracking a bit (this week and last week).

[ QUOTE ]
- Gina, though not the best singer of the women, is in a unique niche and could make it fairly deep on that basis; no vote-splitting here. Still, when it comes down to her vs. the big two and a couple of guys, she's out - say 5-7, like Jordin. It's possible, though, she could slide into the final three.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am not sleeping on this girl anymore (and I thought she had a good vocal last night) - likely Gina LL than Jordin but yeah it is very close.

-Al

[revots33]

[ QUOTE ]

At some point, I really believe that vote-splitting is going to cost one of LaKisha/Melinda a spot in the top three;

[/ QUOTE ]

Ordinarily I'd agree but this year the guys are so lame that I don't see any of them (except Sanjaya maybe, esp if he improves) ever building a big enough fan base to contend. Even if Lakisha/Melinda lose some votes to each other, I don't think there's a guy strong enough to take advantage this year. You need to get more than just the teenage girl vote to win, and I don't see any of them (again, except maybe Sanjaya) appealing to the average idol fan who votes on singing ability.

[thing85]

[ QUOTE ]
You need to get more than just the teenage girl vote to win, and I don't see any of them (again, except maybe Sanjaya) appealing to the average idol fan who votes on singing ability.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you think that the "average idol fan who votes on singing ability" will vote for Sanjaya? He's the worst singer among the guys by a mile.

[snagglepuss]

gina is not a pretty girl. people who think so probably have unattractive girlfriends. which is fine, but wow gina is not bangin' at all. also she has annoying faux-rocker attitude.

haley has a much prettier face, but comes across like a bit of a presumptuous "good-girl" biatch. and she has fattish arms and the body isn't too tight. i would still like to bang her, even though she clearly is terrible in bed.

jordin is cute and seems like she has an actual likeable personality.

antonella was a minx obviously despite having a jersey trashy whore look, probably thinking she was a lot hotter than she actually, and being a dumb [censored].

paula likely has brain damage and i predict a huge breakdown to occur in her life over the next 18 months.

[Suiteness]

The judges really dropped the ball this year when it comes to the guys and I really hope an explanation is given on how, with many thousands of applicants, they couldn't find THREE guys who can sing decently.

It seems WAAYYYY too much stock was put into the initial auditions. All we saw from Sundance in Hollywood was ass sucking ass and the judges pretty much confirmed his initial audition put him through to the last 24. Ditto for Brandon, I really can't believe the 'bland-ness' and general suckiness started at the same time as the top 24.

I wish the producers would simply frontload the show with the female signers so we don't have to sit through the Chris R's and Blake's of this world to listen to some actual talent.

[revots33]

[ QUOTE ]
So you think that the "average idol fan who votes on singing ability" will vote for Sanjaya? He's the worst singer among the guys by a mile.

[/ QUOTE ]

No I was just saying that Sanjaya has the potential to also get some soccer mom votes cause they feel bad for him. His appeal might be broader than preteens. And he's most likely to sing the songs older voters might like (he has no interest in being "hip" or "current" like the others).

Although judging by last night's results the pity factor isn't working enough for Sanjaya. Which is fine, I'd really like to see all 6 guys go home first. Haley is not very good but I still prefer her to any of the guys.

[mynamewastaken]

[ QUOTE ]
The judges really dropped the ball this year when it comes to the guys and I really hope an explanation is given on how, with many thousands of applicants, they couldn't find THREE guys who can sing decently.

It seems WAAYYYY too much stock was put into the initial auditions. All we saw from Sundance in Hollywood was ass sucking ass and the judges pretty much confirmed his initial audition put him through to the last 24. Ditto for Brandon, I really can't believe the 'bland-ness' and general suckiness started at the same time as the top 24.

I wish the producers would simply frontload the show with the female signers so we don't have to sit through the Chris R's and Blake's of this world to listen to some actual talent.

[/ QUOTE ]

Part of it is the randomization that goes into the pre-selection process of who gets to audition before SRP. Most of it is that, even in a random sampling of 100,000 people, I would argue it is unlikely that ANY 12 of them are likely to possess star quality. 4-5 TOPS. I mean, think how hard it is to become a celebrity without connections... they don't call it a 1 in a million shot for nothing.

In this case, I'd say it's just random variance that nade it so the few stars turned out to be female. Same thing happened in season 3 I believe, whereas in season 2 the real stars were male.

But I still think there's something to be said that the producers were looking for a female winner from the start, and didn't give a lot of the guys a fair shake. I just don't understand why, if that was the case, they didn't reorganize the semifinal round to make it co-ed. There was a season where they did that and it worked fine. The voter demographics pretty much self-select gender diversity anyway, so it's HIGHLY unlikely you'd ever see a top 12 all of one gender even if it was theoretically possible.