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  #11  
Old 02-12-2007, 11:23 AM
ama0330 ama0330 is offline
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Default Re: 50NL is this an AI situation?

I could find a fold here. The problem is that if you push, you are probably only being called by a monster, so the critical point of this hand is not what to do on the flop but assigning a range to villain. Flop is relatively simple push or fold, but you should only push if you think you are ahead of villains range because you probably have about zero fold equity.

So against an unknown or a solid player I would fold this.
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  #12  
Old 02-12-2007, 11:47 AM
BobAllinSki BobAllinSki is offline
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Default Re: 50NL is this an AI situation?

[ QUOTE ]

I could find a fold here. The problem is that if you push, you are probably only being called by a monster, so the critical point of this hand is not what to do on the flop but assigning a range to villain. Flop is relatively simple push or fold, but you should only push if you think you are ahead of villains range because you probably have about zero fold equity.

So against an unknown or a solid player I would fold this.


[/ QUOTE ]

Good, if I thought villain could lay down a pair I would definately push, not because we are a favourite but if villain folds with JJ when he is going to win 45% of the time we profit big time.

The fact of the matter on this hand though is that a pair is not going to fold, there is just to much $$ allready in the pot, its all going in and there isnt any benefit to waiting, if villain had pushed instead of raising you would only need to win 36% of the time, as it is against TT you win 25% and against JJ-QQ you win 55%, JJ & QQ are definately part of his range often enough to put you at more than 36% so you could call a push by villain, you can definately push over his raise, if he can find a fold with JJ then all the better.

Personaly I'd check the flop oop with 3 players left to act, your not going to take the pot down very often on this board, have no concerns with giving a free card and may get some very nice squeeze check raise opportunities if there is a bet and a call behind you.
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