50/100 party hand

[DcifrThs]

[ QUOTE ]
what about a fold? out of the question?

[/ QUOTE ]

that was my first thought when reading this hand.

you are really in trouble here (vs. a higher flush draw) unless you are against only good hands, which would also cost you a bit in terms of redraws available. again, unless you're against idiots.

id probably fold it if i checked this hand. calling 3 bets cold is risky, especailly since youcan't be as agressive as you'd like to be if you hit (unless you catch perfect of course).

EDIT: w/o decent reads

Barron

[GreywolfNYC]

You're probably drawing to one out here. Dump it.

[Paluka]

I think this is probably a fold, but we should probably do some math.

[MNpoker]

[ QUOTE ]
You're probably drawing to one out here. Dump it.

[/ QUOTE ]

He has at least 4 (all the 3's).

I think it's a fold.

[HiatusOver]

Just wanted to step in and say I really dont think this is a fold here. I am not sure and a bunch of good players in succession just leaned towards fold but I really doubt it. Maybe I will try to do some math later while I pack for the Bahammas.

I think if anything, the gutshot outs keep u in there. You guys are overestimating the times a higher draw is out there IMO. It has to be pretty often to make this a fold.

[Paluka]

[ QUOTE ]
Just wanted to step in and say I really dont think this is a fold here. I am not sure and a bunch of good players in succession just leaned towards fold but I really doubt it. Maybe I will try to do some math later while I pack for the Bahammas.

I think if anything, the gutshot outs keep u in there. You guys are overestimating the times a higher draw is out there IMO. It has to be pretty often to make this a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree that we really need to do some math. I don't have time during the day to do it.

[ggbman]

I'm guessing that the math will show that continuing with the hand is best if people don't get overzealous and assume bigger diamonds are out there more than say 40-50% of the time. Also, even if it's correct to fold, i am never doing it, this flop is too pretty for this hand, and you HAVE A CHANCE AT STRAIGHT FLUSH!

[Nikla]

I def. like a fold and I hate a flop lead.

[DpR]

I would run some poker stove sims, but I have convinced myself that it is a trojan horse for spyware that sends DERB my hole cards - thus I can not install it on my computer :-)

[brick]

definite possibility