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CO is a multi-tabling TAG that I've played a lot against. Might be a 2+2'er, I'm not sure. He's 25/17 (edit from 12)/3.2 over a 3k+ sample. I also have some history with him in the FR games on Party. He is very capable of making tough folds at any point in a hand.
I think he knows that I would 3-bet his CO openraise relatively lightly, but regardless of that I view his cap as meaning either AK or AA-QQ. The fact that both of the blinds are loose/terrible probably gives my 3bet a little more weight, too. His bet/3-bet line on the turn (coupled with a noticeable pause before 3betting) tells me that he has an overpair pretty much 100% of the time here, and that it's going to be AA the vast majority of those. I believe he would have expected me to raise the flop with a ten, so he's very unlikely to put me on turned trips. Full Tilt Poker Limit Holdem Ring game Limit: $3/$6 5 players Converter Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO caps</font>, Hero calls. Flop: (9.5SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players) <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, Hero calls. Turn: (5.75BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO 3-bets</font>, Hero...? Given the read, go ahead and cap the turn, or call the 3bet intending to raise a non-ace river or bet the river if he checks to me? |
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