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  #11  
Old 09-19-2006, 10:27 AM
Nez477 Nez477 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Crushing on tROY
Posts: 7,216
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

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Okay, don't let me get ahead of myself or whatever.

God it feels good to have a semi-legit bankroll again to be able to do this kind of [censored].

I'm already jumping into the WCOOP sats.

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Go carebear yourself Eric. Seriously.
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  #12  
Old 09-19-2006, 10:36 AM
Toddy Toddy is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,662
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

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Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

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Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

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It's the first tourney after 7:30.

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Bodyman if u want to grab someone me and BulldogMafia will bet you and your partner for $20.
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  #13  
Old 09-19-2006, 10:43 AM
skier_5 skier_5 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: praha
Posts: 3,415
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

[ QUOTE ]
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Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

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Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

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if you won that, it woulda been AT<A8 (12 to go, for top 3 in chips) for me [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img] that cost me.
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  #14  
Old 09-19-2006, 12:44 PM
n1232 n1232 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Location for sale
Posts: 398
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's the first tourney after 7:30.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodyman if u want to grab someone me and BulldogMafia will bet you and your partner for $20.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodyman...I will get in with you on this bet if you want to team up.

Oh and 11 to 1 for me to win it....that is very inticing as well. Toddy, I may put $20 down on myself for that also.
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  #15  
Old 09-19-2006, 12:53 PM
Toddy Toddy is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,662
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

Okay let me know.. Ya if u guys want to go against us me and bulldog will put up $20.
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  #16  
Old 09-19-2006, 01:29 PM
tedtodd tedtodd is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: lurking in the german forums
Posts: 2,387
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

I'll put $20 on someone making 2 final tables. PM to confirm bet.
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  #17  
Old 09-19-2006, 01:43 PM
Toddy Toddy is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,662
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

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I'll put $20 on someone making 2 final tables. PM to confirm bet.

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we can do it here... Tedtodd u want to do $10? Kinda dumb since I hope to make 2 FTs but atleast its some action.
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  #18  
Old 09-19-2006, 02:14 PM
 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: professional procrastinator
Posts: 889
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

can i get in on this?

edit: not the prop bets but the actual challenge..
editx2: and maybe some prop bets [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
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  #19  
Old 09-19-2006, 02:16 PM
Toddy Toddy is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,662
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

Of course! They'll post it tomorrow night. Its going to cost $110 to play in the 5 $20s and then either, $20,$60 or $160 depending on how many challenges u want to enter.
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  #20  
Old 09-19-2006, 02:25 PM
eBo eBo is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 740
Default Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!

P(An average player making at least 2 final tables out of 5 tournaments)=
1-P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys)-P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys)=

P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys) = .95^5 = .77
P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys) = 5 * .05 * .95^4 = .20

P(An average player making 2+ FT out of 5 tourneys)= 1-.77-.20 = .03

If there are 25 average players...
P(At least 1 player FT 2+ tourneys) = 1- P(25 players not FT 2+ tourneys) =
1-.97^25 = .533

Since the quality of players is better than average, this is a +EV bet.

I'll place as much money as I can on this one.
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