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#11
09-18-2006, 09:49 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] ... 10 Units still aka 250$ [/ QUOTE ] thx, Whats the variance? Like $2000? [/ QUOTE ] People don't discuss things like variance and risk of ruin in BBV. They whip out their big hairy balls and slap people in the face with them. 
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#12
09-18-2006, 09:50 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
I have the bankroll/nerve for $200 a hand...it's what I bet when I'm bonus whoring anyways....is it truely +EV? I might be doing this for a few days if it is [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#13
09-18-2006, 10:02 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] ... 10 Units still aka 250$ [/ QUOTE ] thx, Whats the variance? Like $2000? [/ QUOTE ] [gay math not suitable for BBV] standard deviation of blackjack = 1.2 (standard blackjack is 1.155, I'm assuming the SD is slightly higher because of the 2:1 BJ payoff) SD 600 hands = 1.2*sqrt(600) = 29.4 units Expectation = +10.3 units So 65% chance of finishing between -19.1 units and +39.7 95% chance of finishing between -48.5 and +69.1 99.7% chance of finishing between -77.9 and +98.5 [/end gay math]
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#14
09-18-2006, 10:04 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] ... 10 Units still aka 250$ [/ QUOTE ] thx, Whats the variance? Like $2000? [/ QUOTE ] [gay math not suitable for BBV] standard deviation of blackjack = 1.2 (standard blackjack is 1.155, I'm assuming the SD is slightly higher because of the 2:1 BJ payoff) SD 600 hands = 1.2*sqrt(600) = 29.4 units Expectation = +10.3 units So 65% chance of finishing between -19.1 units and +39.7 95% chance of finishing between -48.5 and +69.1 99.7% chance of finishing between -77.9 and +98.5 [/end gay math] [/ QUOTE ] awesome thanks for the info
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#18
09-18-2006, 10:12 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
[ QUOTE ]
is there a strategy sheet anyone here can reccomend/link to maximize ev on this? [/ QUOTE ] Just follow the dealer strategy. Hit on less than 16, and stand on 17 or higher. You won't be giving up too much.
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#19
09-18-2006, 10:13 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
how did you calculate the player edge given these rules?
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#20
09-18-2006, 10:14 PM
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Re: Party Blackjack - kickass Promo
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] is there a strategy sheet anyone here can reccomend/link to maximize ev on this? [/ QUOTE ] Just follow the dealer strategy. Hit on less than 16, and stand on 17 or higher. You won't be giving up too much. [/ QUOTE ]that can't be optimal strategy.
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