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  #151  
Old 04-15-2006, 11:16 AM
revots33 revots33 is offline
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Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Music of Queen

Two last longer bets that I added today:

Taylor over Chris +142
Kellie over Katharine +152

Those 2 should be even money at worst. In fact I think Taylor and Kellie should both be favored.
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  #152  
Old 04-15-2006, 11:22 AM
Grue Grue is offline
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Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Music of Queen

look at the time stamps, the hoax is the third one down

[img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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  #153  
Old 04-15-2006, 12:57 PM
GrannyMae GrannyMae is offline
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Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Music of Queen

[ QUOTE ]
Two last longer bets that I added today:

Taylor over Chris +142
Kellie over Katharine +152

Those 2 should be even money at worst. In fact I think Taylor and Kellie should both be favored.

[/ QUOTE ]


just curious about something...

general consensus, and one that you seem to be buying into as well, states that chris and taylor will be top 2.

if one were to feel this is the case, then why not have taken taylor in the open market at +257?

the only way your bet makes sense is if you feel there is someone that can beat them both, or someone that can come in exactly 2nd that is neither taylor nor chris.
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  #154  
Old 04-15-2006, 01:51 PM
revots33 revots33 is offline
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Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Music of Queen

[ QUOTE ]
the only way your bet makes sense is if you feel there is someone that can beat them both, or someone that can come in exactly 2nd that is neither taylor nor chris.

[/ QUOTE ]
I am not sure Chris will be top 2. Actually I'm starting to doubt it.

I do think Kellie could possibly win over Taylor, and I do think she will outlast Chris.

But you are right, now that you mention it there are definitely better ways to play this than the last-longer bets. I still think those particular bets are mispriced though.
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  #155  
Old 04-15-2006, 06:48 PM
GrannyMae GrannyMae is offline
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Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Music of Queen

I do think Kellie could possibly win over Taylor, and I do think she will outlast Chris.

then your bet is well placed.
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