Average Speed IV Game Thread!

[.Alex.]

Two Things:

1) xorbie's list. Me, Dank, GetThere, Fnord. Are we going to make anything of it? One wolf is the standard play, but this is xorbie. It's either two wolves or none. I think none.

2) We now know that when the wolves were killing all these random people, it wasn't because they were stupid or inexperienced. It was seer hunting. The night after xorbie came out, MdoranD was killed. Why did they think he might have been the seer? He defended Pudley and accused chuckles. I don't recall us ever looking through his posts, did we? Here are the two important ones, both made the day before he died.

"Wolves-
Chuckles
Durron
ceazar?
hornacek"

"elevens,
you are a wolf."


I think this definitely points to either Durron or more likely, Elevens.

[dankhank]

i'm going golfing so i may as well vote now.

vote getthere

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
The night after xorbie came out, MdoranD was killed. Why did they think he might have been the seer? He defended Pudley and accused chuckles.

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe they were just trying to throw us all off track? I was sure he was a wolf because he was so obviously wrong about pretty much everything.

[kyro]

MODERATOR NOTE

Night will fall at 11:00 tonight.

[Elevens]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this definitely points to either Durron or more likely, Elevens.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd really hope that my wolf play would be better than to kill an outright accuser like that. Give me a break.

A few people suspected Mdoran, including myself. Turns out he was a villager. However, three out of four of on his list are known villagers. The other, Durron, is an unknown. I know I'm a villager. So, I won't put too much stock in Mdoran's analysis, at this point.

I'm wavering on Durron, but it has nothing to do with Mdoran.

[durron597]

Here is my order of the final 11 villagers in order of wolf likelihood:

thebram
getthere
istrong
Alex Levin
JaredL
iron yuppie

These 4 are all about the same, so they are in alphabetical order:
cezar
dankhank
elevens
fnord_too

And me, of course, the only one I can be 100% sure of
durron597

[Elevens]

At this point, I don't see any other choice than to vote for GetThere. I suspected him before, and he managed to turn up on a number of known (and smart) villager lists, including our two seers.

Not to mention, I told Toyko that I'd follow his vote. He made it pretty obvious who he was going to vote for (had he lived) in this post from yesterday:

[ QUOTE ]
Btw, I hope everyone realizes that you should lynch GetThere1Time regardless of Pudleys role.

If pudley was a wolf, then they killed Horn likely b/c he had 2 wolves.

If pudley is a villager (lol), then he was pulling the chuckles play and GT1T was the wolf behind the villager.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lynch GetThere

[.Alex.]

[ QUOTE ]


Maybe they were just trying to throw us all off track? I was sure he was a wolf because he was so obviously wrong about pretty much everything.

[/ QUOTE ]
So he was wrong about everything and was a suspect for wolfdom. Sounds like a good reason to kill someone.

Elevens,

You know, I said the same thing about Amplify in redux. What we've seen though, is that if the wolves think someone is the seer they kill him no matter how suspicious it looks. This is partly because they know the village wouldn't think they'd make themeselves that obvious (reverse psychology and all), and partly because a lot of times the village doesn't notice what's going on. After all, it took 4 days for someone to even comment on MdoranD's death.

[Elevens]

[ QUOTE ]
1) xorbie's list. Me, Dank, GetThere, Fnord. Are we going to make anything of it? One wolf is the standard play, but this is xorbie. It's either two wolves or none. I think none.

[/ QUOTE ]

BTW, the "two or none" theory is idiotic.

xorbie could have used any combination of wolves/villagers in his list. In fact, he is cocky enough to have listed all four as wolves. Obviously, that's not possible with what we know now, but I wouldn't put anything past him.

[GetThere1Time]

just woke back up from a little snooze. I'll have a little more input once I get the chance to clear my head but right now I need to run and grab a pack of smokes. Just in case I don't get a chance to before I get back. lynch thebram