*** Official February, March, April Chatter Thread ***

[KingNeo]

I have a BBall playoff betting strategy.

I do 3 game 6 point teasers. I had $60 in my SB account.

I will continue to place my entire BR on the line until it gets absurd and should not be putting the entire $ on the line.

These are the games I am taking with a 6 point teaser.

Dallas at home
SA at home
Det at home

It pays close to 2:1 so if I bet $60 I get $120 in return (this amount includes the original $60).

I am going to do this for the majority of the first round playoff games. It is like free $. The top teams arent going to lose at home in the first round.

[TheRover]

soooo...

who else had pitt RL and ML?

[Kevroc]

[ QUOTE ]
soooo...

who else had pitt RL and ML?

[/ QUOTE ]

ARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[916] LA DODGERS -160 ( ACTION )
[31] NJ DEVILS -105

92/199

EDIT: and for longer term...

ODDS TO WIN THE 2007 STANLEY CUP FINALS
[5559] SAN JOSE SHARKS +1500 100/1500

ODDS TO WIN THE 2007 STANLEY CUP FINALS
[5554] NEW JERSEY DEVILS +1800 7/126

[New001]

[ QUOTE ]
soooo...

who else had pitt RL and ML?

[/ QUOTE ]
I had the ML. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[CrushinFelt]

I started to tilt last night playing Omaha after some horrrrrrible beats, and when I start to tilt in Omaha I start to push every draw for my whole stack and it allll tumbles down hill. Rather than tilt away two or three $100 buy-ins, I made this parlay .... pls be right!

I really need Cleveland's bats to show up tonight, and I need the Dodgers to keep rolllllin'. Cross your fingers for me.

Date placed:
Apr 22, 2007 12:41a 4 Team Parlay #72858878
Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
AMERICAN LEAGUE
(968) Detroit Tigers -168 Sun@1:05p
Competitor: (967) Chicago White Sox



Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
AMERICAN LEAGUE
(971) Cleveland Indians -120 Sun@1:40p
Competitor: (972) Tampa Bay Devil Rays



Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
AMERICAN LEAGUE
(973) Minnesota Twins -155 Sun@2:10p
Competitor: (974) Kansas City Royals



Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
NATIONAL LEAGUE
(966) Los Angeles Dodgers -135 Sun@4:10p
Competitor: (965) Pittsburgh Pirates



Risk $50.33 to win $371.21

[CrushinFelt]

Wow, I didn't notice the terrible value I was getting with the Tigers. That was a mistake.

[kaboshedx]

[ QUOTE ]
Wow, I didn't notice the terrible value I was getting with <font color="red"> these donk parlays </font> . That was a mistake.

[/ QUOTE ]

[New001]

Random arb question.

I've been on the right side of a lot of good line movements in MLB moneylines, and it's given me the chance to lock in some nice arbs if I wanted to. When, if ever, should I do this?

[whipsaw]

[ QUOTE ]
Random arb question.

I've been on the right side of a lot of good line movements in MLB moneylines, and it's given me the chance to lock in some nice arbs if I wanted to. When, if ever, should I do this?

[/ QUOTE ]

IMO, if the line has overcompensated from your calculated "true line" such that there is value in betting the other side independent of your original bet.

[Jordan]

[ QUOTE ]
Random arb question.

I've been on the right side of a lot of good line movements in MLB moneylines, and it's given me the chance to lock in some nice arbs if I wanted to. When, if ever, should I do this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Typically, you should only do this when the line has moved enough that the other side becomes 0EV or +EV.

If you get really good at predicting line movements, you could make larger than normal wagers and arb back down to your normal size wager for extra profit. I don't recommend doing this unless you're really sure the line will move with you, otherwise you'll be eating a small loss very often.