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#91
10-05-2005, 09:17 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
Are you capping these games or just using your trends analyses?
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#93
10-05-2005, 09:38 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
In general.
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#95
10-05-2005, 10:00 AM
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Week 5, post 1
San Francisco 49ers to win +1000
$25.00 to win $250.00 (to win 5 units) Pinnacle 10/5/05 Note: +570 is the lowest number to play for a 5 unit bet on this game. Cross-posted to SYGamel's NFL Picks
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#96
10-05-2005, 10:27 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
[ QUOTE ]
It's been based on trends from the beginning. "Just" a trend system seems to imply you find it derogatory, Toast. lol [/ QUOTE ] Here's what I'm asking to be more specific. I have assumed that you don't look at matchups at all, at injury reports, etc. unless they are part of some trend specifically. In other words, I have this perception that you look at the games and the lines, plug them into some sort of trend analysis and walla, your system spits out the picks. I have assumed that you do not make your picks based on your review of the games, gut feelings, injuries, etc. I just wanted to make sure this was the case because some of your comments indicate that you actually care about how well, for example, New England played in the 2nd half (which I thought would be irrelevant to your picks).
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#97
10-05-2005, 10:45 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
[ QUOTE ]
Here's what I'm asking to be more specific. I have assumed that you don't look at matchups at all, at injury reports, etc. unless they are part of some trend specifically. In other words, I have this perception that you look at the games and the lines, plug them into some sort of trend analysis and walla, your system spits out the picks. I have assumed that you do not make your picks based on your review of the games, gut feelings, injuries, etc. I just wanted to make sure this was the case because some of your comments indicate that you actually care about how well, for example, New England played in the 2nd half (which I thought would be irrelevant to your picks). [/ QUOTE ] Ah, I see your point. Actually I was asking about New England more as a fan than a bettor. I assume, for better or worse (and I believe, for better, though I'm open to debate) that the line generally accounts for matchups and injuries. I do review games for matchups, gut feelings etc. and I would put my NFL knowledge against most anyone, but mostly use this review to evaluate the merit of buying and selling points and in the units played analysis.
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#98
10-05-2005, 10:53 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Here's what I'm asking to be more specific. I have assumed that you don't look at matchups at all, at injury reports, etc. unless they are part of some trend specifically. In other words, I have this perception that you look at the games and the lines, plug them into some sort of trend analysis and walla, your system spits out the picks. I have assumed that you do not make your picks based on your review of the games, gut feelings, injuries, etc. I just wanted to make sure this was the case because some of your comments indicate that you actually care about how well, for example, New England played in the 2nd half (which I thought would be irrelevant to your picks). [/ QUOTE ] Ah, I see your point. Actually I was asking about New England more as a fan than a bettor. I assume, for better or worse (and I believe, for better, though I'm open to debate) that the line generally accounts for matchups and injuries. I do review games for matchups, gut feelings etc. and I would put my NFL knowledge against most anyone, but mostly use this review to evaluate the merit of buying and selling points and in the units played analysis. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks for the clarification. So your Vikings pick last week was purely statistical I assume? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#99
10-05-2005, 10:55 AM
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Re: Week 4 wrapup
By the way, after our discussion about what the odds should be for the Falcons -10.5, I actually bought some contracts at TS at +200 (a little lower than your suggested amount), but a lot higher than I would have done it but for our discussion.
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