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#1
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I hate it when people limp RR PF, cause it seems like half the time they have total crap, half the time they have JJ+....
Anyways here's the reads: UTG+1 is 50/1.5/.7 after about 400 hands. Most of the hands I have on him are from mining, but so far he seems like a typical loose-passive and hasn't done anything tricky or out of line yet. BB is 19/7/1.9 after about 200 hands. Again most hands from mining, but so far this session, he's played more like a tight passive player than his stats suggest. Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Preflop: Dave is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Dave raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 3-bets</font>, Dave calls, BB calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, Dave dies a little inside and then.........??? I suppose you could argue all three options, but one of them has to be best.....I just can't figure out which. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
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#2
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1.9 could be getting a little tricky. i think i 3 bet here, call a cap and fold the turn if he leads and we dont improve.
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#3
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*grunch*
Reraise, otherwise you have no information and could end up calling two bets to showdown with a well beaten hand. You can call a cap on the flop but then need to improve. If for some reason he checks the turn, I'm checking behind then taking a showdown for one bet. Otherwise I'm folding UI to a turn bet. |
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#4
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Fold - you are probably behind and having to call 2 bets to continue isn't profitable.
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#5
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AA, KK and an unlikely 99 & QQ are ahead of us right now. i think folding here may be a tad weak.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
AA, KK and an unlikely 99 & QQ are ahead of us right now. i think folding here may be a tad weak. [/ QUOTE ] Why is 99 unlikely for BB? It's hard to say what might be unlikely for UTG....given the passive read on the opponents, I would tend to think that the limp RR might very well mean the goods. Given the passive reads, the limp RR (not so important but still a piece of information), and finally BB donking the flop into the preflop 3-better.....I don't think its positive EV to continue.....FOLD. |
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#7
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[ QUOTE ]
AA, KK and an unlikely 99 & QQ are ahead of us right now. i think folding here may be a tad weak. [/ QUOTE ] I've never been at the tables with the limp rr meaning crap hands, they are always in the AA-QQ range. You've got two people interested in this pot so there is no way it is going to be a cheap showdown. I'd call the flop, hoping it wasn't capped and see what happened on the turn, with no real desire to put more than 1 bet in on the turn. |
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#8
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Considering ur reads on UTG+1 I would fold. In my experience people rarely limp-raise QQ-JJ cause as soon as they look at them they're getting scared to flop an ace and lose. Against a trickier player u can't fold cause ub have to worry about AK-AQs, KQs which u beat/split.
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#9
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12.5:2 = 6.25:1 that you hit a Q,A on turn.
JJ = winning QQ = screwed KK = you have 2 outs to Q's, 3 outs to A AA = you have 2 outs to Q's [AA,KK] 16.32% equity according to pokerstove. EV(call)= 16.32%*12.5SB - 83.68%*2SB = +0.3664SB EV(raise)= 16.32%*12.5SB - 83.68%*3SB = -0.47SB [QQ-AA] 14.7% equity EV(call)= 14.7%*12.5SB - 85.3%*2SB = +0.1315SB EV(raise)= 14.7%*12.5SB - 85.3%*3SB = -0.7215SB [JJ-AA] 42.2% equity EV(call)= 42.2%*12.5SB - 57.8%*2SB = +4.12SB EV(raise)= 42.2%*12.5SB - 57.8%*3SB = +3.54SB So for every case, raising is definitely out and folding is definitely out. I would call. |
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
I've never been at the tables with the limp rr meaning crap hands, they are always in the AA-QQ range. [/ QUOTE ] Without a read , this is usually what it means. But I have seen players L/RR with garbage quite often. And not just LAG types , I saw a 45/3 L/RR utg with 58o just the other day. |
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