100NL: Turned Straight on Dangerous River

[a breath of air]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $89.50
Hero (BB): $397.75
UTG: $123.30
MP: $42.60
CO: $53.65
BTN: $84.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt K Q (6 Players)
2 folds, CO calls $1.00, BTN folds, SB calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.00</font>, CO calls $3.00, SB calls $3.00

Flop: ($12) A J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($12) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $8.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $22.50</font>, CO folds, SB calls $14.50

River: ($57) J (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $63.00</font>, Hero ???

[HaiaN]

no reads?

[a breath of air]

Small sample size so these are not very useful: 14/7/3(29)

[The.Accountant]

i don't know if this is a fold.. but i'd say you're beat here...oh...99% of the time.

the other 1% he has 65 or A5 or 72 or something.

[a breath of air]

[ QUOTE ]
i don't know if this is a fold.. but i'd say you're beat here...oh...99% of the time.

the other 1% he has 65 or A5 or 72 or something.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think 99% may be slightly high. I would say my opponent's range is likely AA, JJ, TT, 55, KQ, AJ, KJ, QJ, or JT. Giving my opponent the benefit of the doubt because of the small sample size I would omit AK and AQ from his or her range.

[Casper05]

fold

[zaephyr]

i am felting this, i really doubt he would call turn raise with lone jack

[Capone]

I'd call.

[RyanCMU]

[ QUOTE ]
i am felting this, i really doubt he would call turn raise with lone jack

[/ QUOTE ]

Then why are you felting? A lone J is basically all we beat here...

If we assume he doesn't call the turn with less then 2pair this has to be a river fold, since best case we chopping with the other straight.

We really only beat single As which I don't think would play the hand this way given that they b/c'd the turn and then shoved the river. And QJ, KJ type hands...

All of his likely 2pair hands now beat us, and TT/55 just filled up as well.

I probably fold here.

And I agree with the above poster, you need to make your turn raise larger.

[a breath of air]

I agree a larger raise on the turn is probably better, but idk if this is a fold getting 2:1. Is anyone interested in results?