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#1
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he expects me to bet a J or better on river bc he knows scare cards dont scare me until someone raises me. he will not call river with AK but will call with any pocket pair he 3bet which is prob like 88+ in this spot. ill say his range pf here is like 88+/AQo+/AJs+/maybe KQs and 77. calling him a nit probably wasnt the right description and in fact is a pretty crappy one, more like straightforward/careful/abc preflop and postflop.
the thing is that i have AA 100% of the time here but i know he doesnt know that so i wasnt really sure what my hand looked like to him exactly but i felt that the vast majority of things he can call w/ on the river he can bet for value so i was better off seeing if he wanted to make a bad payoff of my c/r. |
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#2
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Meh...the river c/r only works out brilliantly if he has KK, AQ, or KQ. Otherwise, does he really call your raise with a worse hand? If you're fairly sure he has KK, then I love it...but, you have to wonder why he didn't pop the turn. To me, this makes AJ a possibility (esp. since he bet the river).
IMO, I think c/c > c/r > b/c > b/f (I revised this order a couple of times before I actually posted). I'm starting to like c/c a lot, since your river check makes him believe that you might have [TT-88] (maybe AJ) and are giving up on the river. Therefore, he'd bet his AJ, AQ, KK, AA. To me, it's hard to see how you get 2 bets from him on the river(whether it's from a b/c or c/r) and are ahead. You might have been able to build a larger pot by just flat-calling the flop...I'm not totally sure. |
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#3
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well if he can have 77-99 here and will bet river when you check then i like it. seems like a stretch for most players at this limit though.
Can't resist saying that this hand is a good example of how hard it is to make back the ~.4-.5 BB in equity you lost by not capping pf. |
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