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Old 11-20-2007, 03:32 PM
z28dreams z28dreams is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
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Default Re: 25NL AA Fold or Push

Ya, Pokey basically beat me to it, but this is either a set or top pair almost all of the time.

It's unlikely a bluff because we're not heads-up at the flop. So, his range is probably something like 66,88,AQ,KQ, and maybe a badly played KK. (perhaps 86 if he's super loose).

Against this entire range we're ahead overall, and about 50/50 worst case scenario.

I usually call and the try to get it all in on the turn rather than on the river, but either probably works.

Usually I try to get it in on the turn while villain still has some "hope" that he can win the hand. (Unfortunately, this is usually when they are on a draw). So ya, call flop, then if he bets turn you can either put him in or flat call again.

If he checks turn, you kind of have to know how aggressive he is on the river. A lot of LAG maniacs will slow down once they realize they've been called down for 2 big bets.

The pot is so huge it'll hardly matter though - $22 in by the turn, and effective stacks have around $20 behind.
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