10/20 TPGK Turn line?

[23act]

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Hey Rika,
Effective stacks are now $1300. So far with the board testure and action, we look like we are ahead. The problem is that if all the money goes in on the turn, that's likely not the case anymore.

AK/AQ likely reraise preflop. As does AA/QQ. So for hands ahead of us, that leaves A9s, A3s. For A3s it's tough for him to even call the flop when you opt to bet into the two villains, so that makes only A3cc the only likely A3s hand.

The obvious group of hands I have ignored are the FD and the JT OESD, which both likely call the flop.

And the drawing hands make up much more a range than hands that have us beat.

So the turn comes down to a question of finding the right balance between protecting your hand/finding value; and keeping the pot small with a mediocre hand.

If we bet a good size amount - 400-500 - it seems to put him in a tough spot if he has a draw, as we are threatening commitment.

However, if we check we give a draw a free shot on the river, however that can be balanced by the value we may find on the river by 1) inducing a bluff from a busted draw, or by value betting the river and getting value from a worse Ax hand.

I think I lean towards a turn bet a little more though because there are many more combos of draws than worse made hands. I like a $500 bet/fold to shove.

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equal i like your analysis a lot

i end up bet/calling a lot:
- villian raises 2pair/999 on flop a lot
- for me this means his range is heavily skewed to a fd and weaker A's on the turn
- shoving draws on the turn over a second barrel is becoming very common

[KexChoklad123]

400 call a shove

[Nielsio]

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- villian raises 2pair/999 on flop a lot

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When the flop is multiway, fish often like to tarp some more people on the flop.

[Equal]

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When the flop is multiway, fish often like to tarp some more people on the flop.

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Where does OP given any indication villain is a fish? The only clue I see is an 80bb stack.