*** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***

[kyro]

Went ahead and add 1u on Det/Ari Over 45.0

Both Detroit and Arizona are:

1) Scoring more than their opponents are giving up in their other games

2) Giving up more than their opponents are scoring in their other games.

Arizona's last three totals have been 35/40/27, but that was WITH Rattay against a low scoring Carolina squad, against Washington who is all D, no O, and against Tampa, who despite having an efficient offense, doesn't put up many points, as well as having a good defense. Interestingly enough, Arizona's 3 highest totals of the year came in games they won, for whatever that's worth.

Detroit's last 4 totals have been 37/39/23/51, but once again, the first three were against Washington and Tampa (recognize a trend?), and a fluky low-scoring game against Chicago, (against who they had a total of 74 earlier in the year).

The line reflects a slightly above-average scoring game. But we have two averagish offenses who love to pass against below averagish defenses who can't stop the pass. I expect the total to be somewhere in the low-mid 50s.