Thursday (10/25) NCAAF

[Jazzy3113]

I had the same exact picks bob except I'm taking BC with the points at 3 1/2 and I got AF at 6 1/2.

I feel really good about Air Force tonight, but I'm not betting more than one unit as its college.

[cookieb]

Not really sure how this effects the game, but it is very wet down here in the Commonwealth today. I suspect this is a positive for BC, as it will likely calm the crowd a bit in Blacksburg. Tech will struggle to move the ball anyway, this can't be a positive for them.

[MicroBob]

Yeah, at 3.5 I don't think I would touch VT.

But for 3 pts I'm good with it as BC just doesn't blow me away as much. 24-14 over UMass and 27-14 over ND and I don't think they looked very strong in either.
Although it is UMass's only loss this year and even though their schedule features the likes of Maine, Towson and Villanova it's possible I'm not giving enough credit to an okay win over a half-decent team.
Same goes for ND I guess. But they really are SO bad and BC just wasn't able to blow past them like I would expect of a truly good team...and like I would expect a team like VT to be able to do for that matter.

37-17 over Army which I saw parts of didn't really blow me away either. Army just lost 47-23 to Central Mich and 34-10 to GT.
Army was down only 16-10 in the 3rd Q and made it 29-17 in the 4th.

Some of the wins for BC look okay but they have far fewer 45-7 type wins for that schedule and far more games that were closer to actual struggles than I think a true #2 team should have.


VT seems to be finding their groove and while their competition hasn't exactly been mind-blowing I still don't think 41-23 AT Clemson and 43-14 AT Duke is anything to sneeze at.
Earlier it was mentioned that it appears VT's results are actually better on the road. But I think it's a matter of the team improving more at mid-season and it happened to coincide with a couple of away games.
Man those are some good scores for conference road-games.

And obviously I expect the Thursday night crowd at VT to be raucous and a big advantage for VT.


I don't feel THAT good about AF tonight. UNM is a pretty decent team. But I definitely think AF is undervalued and don't think they should be a 6.5 point dog here.
There will be some Thursday night fever momentum for the home-crowd in this one too. Even though it's only on versus-network it's still a pretty exciting game for UNM to get on TV at all. But I don't think the advantage is so much as to give them almost 7 points in a game that could be very back-and-forth and close-ish to even.

[Austiger]

MicroBob- FWIW, last Thursday night's game at TCU looked like about 2000 people were there and there was absolutely zero home field advantage. I'm not sure if that will be the same for UNM, but just thought I would mention it. Will the World Series or the BC game keep people at home?

[MicroBob]

A game at TCU is not the same as a game at UNM.
I saw parts of the TCU game and the crowd was pretty much what I expected it would be.
The UNM crowd will be larger and more enthusiastic.

TCU is kind of an afterthought sports-wise in that area.
Programs like TCU, Houston and SMU have a tough time drawing in their bigger cities where there is much greater interest in the Cowboys and schools like UT, TAMU and TT for example.

UNM is the big dog in their city and really for their whole state. They drew 42k vs. NMSU earlier this year and I expect a similar turnout for an important conference game against a psuedo-rival tonight unless they are on fall-break or have horrible weather or something else I'm not aware of.

Friend of mine lives in Albuquerque and goes to a few football and hoops games and says the fan-support is really pretty good there. This is the biggest and most popular sports 'franchise' they have.


I really doubt many people who want to attend will stay away just to watch the BC/VT game and probably not the world series.
That's kind of like asking if all those USC fans will stay home on a Saturday night because there's so many big games including OSU and the World Series on TV. Don't really know why a couple big games on the tube on Thursday night would have a greater effect on keeping fans home than on a Saturday with big games all over the place.

[New001]

My only plays tonight so far are the VT moneyline and Air Force +6.

[rush66]

Leaning VT and Under...under very strong. Probably post officials plays closer to game time.

[New001]

[ QUOTE ]
Leaning VT and Under...under very strong. Probably post officials plays closer to game time.

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Get in now if you want the under IMO.