25-50 HP... AK and stuck

[Garland]

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I disagree with just calling the turn.

We did actually go through this about a week or two ago... however, I found over the course of about 3 months worth of play at Hollywood Park... I was giving away a TON of value by not raising my big draws + over-cards on the turn...

In this situation I have at least 12 NUT outs with maybe as many as 18 outs... these outs, + fold equity, + the fact that I may be ahead... I feel a raise is required.

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Ok fine. Part of the reason I suggest you call the turn is you don't know how to lay down an A or K if 3-bet on turn and led into on the river (evidenced by similar post a couple of weeks ago). Another reason is with your image and the size of the pot, you're not getting any folds.

Another thing is from personal experience, that opponent is never donking the turn on a draw/air. I don't about your opponent, but I guess I have to live with your read. If they are donking with a draw (other than KT anything else?), I endorse the turn raise. But remember, if he has a better hand than you, you may have 18 live outs, but he has 26 outs.

I just don't expect you to get two folds with this raise, and I don't expect you to have a better hand. I also don't expect this river bet to be called by a worse hand. And I don't expect it to fold out any pair.

Garland