Future of sng's online?

[LeadbellyDan]

Maybe im just really lucky but in my experience if you have a good roi then variance is tiny in SnGs.

[suzzer99]

I think it's pretty well agreed upon that variance is lower in cash. SNGs are a little more like MTTs in that you can have a big rush where you win all your money, then a whole lot of meh. If you miss that big rush a couple times in a row you can have a really nasty downswing on your hands.

[reno expat]

umm...variance has to be huge. In a 9 man sng, you have 4 posibilities. You can finish down one buy-in, up .65 buy-ins, up 1.475 buy-ins or up 3.125 buy-ins. If your long term result is to be +.1 buy-ins per game (a 10% roi) it should be clear why any given set of games has a very low chance of converging to the long term results, this is why there is so much more variance in SNGs. If you have a high enough ROI, it might not feel like there is variance because even when you preform below expectation you are winning, but given that there are only 4 possible outcomes it should always take a long time to converge to any long term ROI.

[blackize]

[ QUOTE ]
In a 9 man sng, you have 4 posibilities. You can finish down one buy-in, up .65 buy-ins, up 1.475 buy-ins or up 3.125 buy-ins. If your long term result is to be +.1 buy-ins per game (a 10% roi) it should be clear why any given set of games has a very low chance of converging to the long term results, this is why there is so much more variance in SNGs.

[/ QUOTE ]

No this is why there is LESS variance in SNGs. Your actual results never stray too far from your expectation.

[FF_Woodycooks]

Is it possible that table selection makes more money on avg in cash than sngs? Finding juicy tables and staying til they go bad, picking up on the moods/tendencies of the players at each table, using very detailed datamined stats. These are all skills you can use in cash and I think they curb some of the swings.

[blackize]

Table selection affects your winrate. In SNGs this doesn't change your winrate as much because your winnings are still capped.