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Old 10-04-2007, 03:52 PM
Ringmaster Ringmaster is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 203
Default Re: JJ OOP vs a LAG

Preflop is standard vs most villains. I wouldn't be 4-betting this hand unless I'm comfortable getting it in pre, and against most villains 150 BBs deep I would not be.

I think ck/c flop, ck/f turn is the best line against most villains. If this guy is over aggro in 3 bet pots I'd call the second barrel, but river is a definite fold IMO.

Someone mentioned donking the flop with the intention of getting it in. This is an interesting line, but I think we'll be getting it in as a dog to his range in most cases, even if he's repoping the donk bet with a wide range.

For example:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

49,500 games 0.015 secs 3,300,000 games/sec

Board: Th 6d 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.294% 42.34% 00.95% 20958 472.50 { JdJs }
Hand 1: 56.706% 55.75% 00.95% 27597 472.50 { TT+, AQs+, 98s, 87s, AKo }

This is a pretty wide range IMO. We could add a few more unpaired high cards, smaller pairs etc., to make it look a little better and it would be +EV considering the dead money in the pot. I'm not sure it's reasonable to assume he's always raising this many hands though, you'd need more of a read than just "he's a LAG".

So I guess I like your line better than donking the flop in most cases.
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