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#2
10-04-2007, 01:54 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
Alright I'm not placing these wagers but these are the picks for this weekend's college experiement (note the collection of seven sports writers were polled, at least 5 of them took the opposing team so I would wager on these teams)
Tonight- South Carolina (-3 1/2) vs Kentucky Northern Illinois (-4) vs Temple Kansas (+3) vs Kansas State Clemson (-5) vs Va. Tech Iowa (+9 1/2) vs Penn State Florida (+9) vs LSU The collective records of the panel are 257-261 so after typing all that and realizing this I'm not so sure. The consensus is 38-36 (need 4 out of 7). So basically I don't have anything here probably. I just figured that the consensus in the end would fail... 
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#4
10-04-2007, 03:05 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
[ QUOTE ]
your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say.
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#5
10-04-2007, 03:26 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say. [/ QUOTE ] If you're looking for an edge, just bet the dog in every sport on the planet that you can bet on.
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#6
10-04-2007, 03:35 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say. [/ QUOTE ] Fading some random dude who probably has no idea what he's doing is your edge? WTF man? How can you not see where this reasoning is flawed? I don't know how much more clear this could be.
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#7
10-04-2007, 03:37 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
This thread has gotten way too many responses.
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#8
10-04-2007, 04:56 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
fgators - if they had a system where they flipped a coin to make their picks but their win-pct was only 45% would you pick the other side against them because you have an edge?
If you took 10 different games each week and then measured how each different coin did every week would you follow the nickel's picks because it won 56% of the time or would you decide that picking the opposite of the penny that only won 43% would have greater value?
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#9
10-04-2007, 04:58 PM
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Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail. [/ QUOTE ] ....whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage ... [/ QUOTE ] You are wrong.
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