Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #11  
Old 09-23-2007, 02:36 PM
Josem Josem is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Victoria, Australia
Posts: 4,780
Default Re: Decent Online News Article

firstly, i think it is beautiful that we're discussing whether the 25 hands is a 1 in 100,000 event, or a 1 in 10billion event.

to clarify, you would need to have 100,000 sets of 25 hands to presumably replicate it.

[ QUOTE ]
Now, if we have other reasons to think somebody's cheating (which we do here, of course), that becomes the hypothesis. Then somebody comes along and says "Hey, dude, he might have just happened to fold exactly those times AA-JJ came up." Then we say, "No way, dude, that's 1 in 10 billion."

[/ QUOTE ]

i think that's the difference - my hypothesis is:
"what are the chances that villain makes the 'right' decision <u>given</u> the cards that were dealt?"

i think your hypothesis is:
"what are the chances that villain makes the 'right' decision <u>and</u> the cards are dealt in that way?"



i prefer my hypothesis because i don't care about the luck of the cards falling in that particular way. i'm only interested in looking at the chances of the villain responding as he did.
Reply With Quote
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:47 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.