20/40 borg .. all-in maniac

[DeuceKicker]

A TAG is much more likely to call the river if you raise the turn than if you call then 3-bet.

Bottom line is that if TAG is already getting suspicious of JJ (or AA if he has KK) you're not getting much out of him either way. He has position, so he may be content to let you do the betting, and only bet if checked to, figuring one bet is going in on the turn and river either way.

If he still isn't convinced he's beat (and so far how can he put you on exactly JJ?), a 2-bet is very well disguised and presents the opportunity to 4-bet the turn and still possibly be paid off for another bet on the river "because the pot is so big."

[Dagger78]

I agree with the fact that we "should" be able to call, 3-bet the turn. But I never trust even guys I think are "tags" to raise QQ and KK on this turn. They'll be content the pot is big and their hand doesn't need protecting and just call behind.

I think raise/capping if given the option and leading the river will on average gain more bets than call/3betting.